Efficient energy consumption prediction model for a data analytic-enabled industry building in a smart city

Abstract

ABSTRACT The fast development of urban advancement in the past decade requires reasonable and realistic solutions for transport, building infrastructure, natural conditions, and personal satisfaction in smart cities. This paper presents and explores predictive energy consumption models based on data-mining techniques for a smart small-scale steel industry in South Korea. Energy consumption data is collected using IoT based systems and used for prediction. Data used include the lagging and leading current reactive power, the lagging and leading current power factor, carbon dioxide emissions, and load types. Five statistical algorithms are used for energy consumption prediction:(a) General linear regression, (b) Classification and regression trees, (c) Support vector machine with a radial basis kernel, (d) K nearest neighbours, (e) CUBIST. Root mean squared error, Mean absolute error and Coefficient of variation are used to measure the prediction efficiency of the models. The results show that CUBIST model provides best results with lower error values and this model can be used for the development of energy efficient structural design which helps to optimize the energy consumption and policy making in smart cities.