Abstract
The author proposes a paradigm of experimental biogeocoenology in which the operating system is managed with empirical-statistical models of the spatial organization of forest ecosystems at the topological level. The strategy of topological landscape-ecological analysis, as well as the ideology and methods of geoenvironmental forecasting, are described. The presented basic and predictive models reveal the mechanisms of the formation of topoecological systems and their natural and anthropogenic dynamics. The conformity of forest biogeocoenoses in different zonal-regional conditions of the Volga basin to natural laws of positive and negative regulation of the carbon cycle are described according to well-known global climate change scenarios. Experimental environmental analysis was carried out on specific examples with the methods of basic empirical imitation of computed-predicted situations.
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