Abstract
This paper will discuss that simulation of evacuation demand in some emergency conditions requires the use of dynamic models, among which sequential dynamic discrete choice models represent a special class. Sequential dynamic discrete choice models are based on discrete choice model theory and on sequential analysis, a statistical approach which allows one to analyze the given dynamic phenomenon in the sample database and to highlight, if it exists, a specific lag. This work is subdivided into two main parts. In the first part the authors propose an analysis of evacuation conditions requiring a dynamic approach and a state of the art of literature models which deal with these. In the second part the authors propose a brief description of sequential analysis and we introduce a sequential dynamic discrete choice model to simulate evacuation conditions.
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