Abstract
Some species of birds react to climate change by reducing the distance they travel during migration. The Odra River Estuary in the Baltic Sea is important for wintering waterfowl and is where we investigated how waterbirds respond to freezing surface waters. The most abundant birds here comprise two ecological groups: bottom-feeders and piscivores. Numbers of all bottom-feeders, but not piscivores, were negatively correlated with the presence of ice. With ongoing global warming, this area is increasing in importance for bottom-feeders and decreasing for piscivores. The maximum range of ice cover in the Baltic Sea has a weak and negative effect on both groups of birds. Five of the seven target species are bottom-feeders (Greater Scaup Aythya marila, Tufted Duck A. fuligula, Common Pochard A. ferina, Common Goldeneye Bucephala clangula and Eurasian Coot Fulica atra), and two are piscivores (Smew Mergellus albellus and Goosander Mergus merganser). Local changes at the level of particular species vary for different reasons. A local decline of the Common Pochard may simply be a consequence of its global decline. Climate change is responsible for some of the local changes in the study area, disproportionately favoring some duck species while being detrimental to others.
Highlights
Migration distance has declined in several species of aquatic birds as a result of climate change (Musil et al, 2011; Lehikoinen et al, 2013; Meller, 2016)
Three functional groups of waterbirds forage in the shallow waters of offshore lagoons: piscivores, herbivores and bottom-feeders, for example, large numbers of waterbirds gather to forage in the Odra River Estuary (Marchowski et al, 2015; Marchowski, Jankowiak & Wysocki, 2016)
Six of our target species belong to the order: Anseriformes, family: Anatidae, subfamily: Anatinae and Tribe: Mergini (Goldeneye, Smew and Goosander), Tribe: Aythyini (Scaup, Pochard and Tufted Duck); one species—Coot belongs to the order: Gruiformes, family: Rallidae (Del Hoyo & Collar, 2014)
Summary
Migration distance has declined in several species of aquatic (and other) birds as a result of climate change (Musil et al, 2011; Lehikoinen et al, 2013; Meller, 2016). Piscivores, on the other hand, can still feed in such conditions (frozen surface of shallows, unfrozen deeper areas - further from the shore, where there are no mussels but there are fish) and remain in the area, e.g., observation of large aggregations of piscivores during harsh winters (Smew Mergellus albellus and Goosander Mergus merganser) (Kaliciuk, Oleksiak & Czeraszkiewicz, 2003; Czeraszkiewicz, Haferl & Oleksiak, 2004; Marchowski & Ławicki, 2011; Guentzel et al, 2012; Marchowski & Ławicki, 2012; Marchowski, Ławicki & Guentzel, 2013) This has consequences for conservation management plans in protected areas. Changes in the importance of wintering ground due to changing surface-water freezing patterns expected under global warming regimes are likely to have important consequences for very large numbers of these birds
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