Abstract
Introduction/purpose: Based on the results obtained previously, the second wave of Covid-19 infection is analyzed and some predictions on its evolution are given. Methods: A model of population growth giving a differential equation has been used to describe the pandemic wave. Results: The second wave of infection is essentially on its peak in the middle of November 2020 and will not decrease very soon. Conclusions: The second wave is not going to end in the year 2020 and it will take some time before a status of relative normality is restored.
Highlights
The second wave is not going to end in the year 2020 and it will take some time before a status of relative normality is restored
The equation we have used in the model of Covid–19 evolution of a number of cases in time (Verhults, 1838) is given by (Fabiano & Radenović, 2020a) dx(t) x(t) dt a b where the total number of cases x(t) at a given time is given by VOJNOTEHNIČKI GLASNIK / MILITARY TECHNICAL COURIER, 2021, Vol 69, Issue 1 c x(t) =
In accordance with the data of 1918, it has been predicted in Table 5 of the above mentioned article that the second wave of the pandemic would have a peak number of new cases per day that has a fivefold increase of the peak of the first wave
Summary
The second wave is not going to end in the year 2020 and it will take some time before a status of relative normality is restored. In accordance with the data of 1918, it has been predicted in Table 5 of the above mentioned article that the second wave of the pandemic would have a peak number of new cases per day that has a fivefold increase of the peak of the first wave.
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