Abstract

This paper investigates whether and how lead time in CEO succession matters by comparing disruption costs in firms with planned retirements to those with unexpected CEO departures due to death or illness. Using a comprehensive manually-collected dataset of CEO turnovers from 1999 to 2008, I find evidence that firms with planned CEO retirements have significantly longer lead time and lower disruption costs. Specifically, longer lead time is associated with more favorable cumulative stock performance and firm operating performance around the outgoing CEO’s departure. In fact, firms can save approximately $136 million when there is lead time to plan for succession.

Highlights

  • CEO succession planning is the process by which the board of directors prepares for the transition of leadership from one CEO to the

  • 90% of the new CEOs have been a director for at least 3.5 years prior to the incumbent CEO’s departure. These findings suggest that when faced with an unexpected CEO departure when the incumbent CEOs are no longer involved in the succession process and when there is less time to plan for succession, firms tend to appoint a successor with lengthy firm and board experience to weather the storm

  • Given the large magnitude of the change in firm value associated with a lack of lead time, I argue that it is doubtful that the costs of not planning for succession will outweigh the benefits

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Summary

Introduction

CEO succession planning is the process by which the board of directors prepares for the transition of leadership from one CEO to the next. Firms with unexpected CEO departures lack incumbent CEOs’ involvement in the selection process, and are less likely to have time to prepare for CEO succession if there is no plan already in place, may experience greater disruption costs. 90% of the new CEOs have been a director for at least 3.5 years prior to the incumbent CEO’s departure These findings suggest that when faced with an unexpected CEO departure when the incumbent CEOs are no longer involved in the succession process and when there is less time to plan for succession, firms tend to appoint a successor with lengthy firm and board experience to weather the storm.

Importance of CEO Succession Planning
Succession Type and Outcome
Data and Summary Statistics
CEO Departures Through Time
The Costs of No Lead Time in CEO Succession
Multivariate Analysis
Change in Firm Operating Performance
Propensity Score Matching
Comparison of Board Adjustments
Findings
Conclusion
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