Diversification determinants, spatial heterogeneity and scenarios for small producers in Mexico

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Abstract Diversification is a strategy adopted by households for their survival and resilience in the face of change. Capital assets have been shown to be determinants of diversification, but studies showing its spatial heterogeneity are scarce. Thus, this article aims to answer: How significant are household capital assets and connectivity in explaining diversification? and how does diversification vary spatially? The results for landowners in Oaxaca, Mexico, show that diversification is heterogeneous in this region and is boosted by land hectares, land tenure, remittances, social programs and connectivity. In addition, for small coffee producers, remittances and social programs increase the likelihood of diversification, although these variables vary across the region. Rural policies need to consider the spatial heterogeneity of their determinants to enhance household resilience. La diversificación es una estrategia adoptada por los hogares para su supervivencia y resiliencia ante el cambio. Se ha demostrado que los activos de capital son determinantes de la diversificación, pero son escasos los estudios que muestran su heterogeneidad espacial. Así pues, este trabajo pretende responder a las siguientes preguntas: ¿Qué importancia tienen los activos de capital y la conectividad de los hogares para explicar la diversificación? y ¿cómo varía espacialmente la diversificación? Los resultados para los propietarios de tierras en Oaxaca, México, muestran que la diversificación es heterogénea en esta región y es impulsada por las hectáreas de tierra, la tenencia de la tierra, las remesas, los programas sociales y la conectividad. Además, para los pequeños productores de café, las remesas y los programas sociales aumentan la probabilidad de diversificación, aunque estas variables varían en la región. Las políticas rurales deben considerar la heterogeneidad espacial de sus determinantes para mejorar la resiliencia de los hogares. La diversification est une stratégie adoptée par les ménages pour leur survie et leur résilience face au changement. Il a été démontré que les actifs en capital sont des déterminants de la diversification, mais les études montrant son hétérogénéité spatiale sont rares. Cet article cherche donc à répondre aux questions suivantes : Quelle est l'importance des actifs en capital des ménages et de la connectivité pour expliquer la diversification? et comment la diversification varie-t-elle dans l'espace? Les résultats concernant les propriétaires terriens d'Oaxaca, au Mexique, montrent que la diversification est hétérogène dans cette région et qu'elle est stimulée par les hectares de terre, le régime foncier, les envois de fonds, les programmes sociaux et la connectivité. En outre, pour les petits producteurs de café, les envois de fonds et les programmes sociaux augmentent la probabilité de diversification, bien que ces variables varient d'une région à l'autre. Les politiques rurales doivent tenir compte de l'hétérogénéité spatiale de leurs déterminants afin d'améliorer la résilience des ménages.

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