Abstract

The main trends of the renewable generation development are discussed both on the global and national scales. The climate-driven factors of renewable power development are addressed considering the climate change impact. A method of the long-term climate projection assessment is proposed. The forecast estimations of the precipitation amount and the surface wind speed are developed considering a difference between the climate scenarios. The robust output of the fulfilled analysis is a general climate tendency to some improvement of the renewable power operation conditions under all realistic climate projections. The main climate-related negative effect found is a wind speed decrease in the European part of Russia and southern West Siberia, which means that some adaptation measures should be kept in mind when planning renewable power construction in these areas.

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