Development of a Building-Scale Meteorological Prediction System Including a Realistic Surface Heating

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Abstract
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Microscale urban meteorological models have been widely used in interpreting atmospheric flow and thermal discomfort in urban environments, but most previous studies examined the urban flow and thermal environments for an idealized urban morphology with imposing neutral or homogeneous thermal forcing. This study has developed a new building-scale meteorological prediction system that extends the ability to predict microscale meteorological fields in real urban environments. A computational fluid dynamics (CFD) model has been developed based on the non-hydrostatic incompressible Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS) equations with a standard k-ε turbulence model, and the microscale urban surface energy (MUSE) model was coupled with the CFD model to provide realistic surface thermal boundary conditions in real urban environments. It is driven by the large scale wind and temperature fields predicted by the Korean operational weather prediction model. The validation results of the new building-scale meteorological prediction system were presented against wind tunnel data and field measurements, showing its ability to predict in-canyon flows and thermal environments in association with spatiotemporal variations of surface temperatures in real urban environments. The effects of realistic surface heating on pedestrian level wind and thermal environments have been investigated through sensitivity simulations of different surface heating conditions in the highly built-up urban area. The results implied that the inclusion of surface thermal forcing is important in interpreting urban flow and thermal environment of the urban area, highlighting a realistic urban surface heating that should be considered in predicting building-scale meteorology over real urban environments.

Highlights

  • Rapid urbanization, which is projected that two-thirds of the world’s population would live in cities by 2050 [1], causes various environmental problems in association with unique micrometeorological states in urban areas (e.g., [2,3])

  • The new building-scale meteorological prediction system has been developed with coupling the computational fluid dynamics (CFD) model and the microscale urban surface energy (MUSE) model to predict microscale atmospheric flow and thermal environments for real urban areas (Figure 1)

  • Microscale urban meteorological models have been widely used in interpreting urban flow and study, a new building-scale meteorological prediction system has been developed to extend the ability thermal discomfort mostly under idealized urban morphological and physical environments

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Summary

IntroductionExpand/Collapse icon

Rapid urbanization, which is projected that two-thirds of the world’s population would live in cities by 2050 [1], causes various environmental problems in association with unique micrometeorological states in urban areas (e.g., [2,3]). Wind tunnel experiments have advantages in collecting high-density spatial data and in interpreting microscale flow and thermal structures because wind tunnel data are obtained from well-designed experimental setups in terms of ideal/real cities’ morphological structures and meteorological driving forcing (e.g., [4,6]) They have limitations in that the multiscale meteorological influences in the urban boundary layer (UBL) are not considered. Microscale meteorological models have been widely used in investigating atmospheric flow, dispersion, and thermal comfort conditions in urban environments, compensating for the limitations in the wind tunnel experiments and field measurements (e.g., [9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17]).

The Governing EquationsExpand/Collapse icon
Numeric RepresentationExpand/Collapse icon
The Building-Scale Meteorological Prediction SystemExpand/Collapse icon
Validation of the CFD Model against WindExpand/Collapse icon
Validation of the Building-ScaleExpand/Collapse icon
The Thermal Effects on Pedestrian-Level Wind EnvironmentExpand/Collapse icon
The Thermal Effects on Pedestrian-Level Thermal EnvironmentExpand/Collapse icon
Summary andurbanExpand/Collapse icon
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The Microscale Urban Surface Energy (MUSE) Model for Real Urban Application
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Urban atmospheric environmental issues are commonly associated with the physical processes of urban surfaces. Much progress has been made on the building-resolving microscale atmospheric models, but a realistic representation of the physical processes of urban surfaces on those models is still lacking. This study presents a new microscale urban surface energy (MUSE) model for real urban meteorological and environmental applications that is capable of representing the urban radiative, convective, and conductive energy transfer processes along with their interactions, and that is directly compatible with the Cartesian grid microscale atmospheric models. The physical processes of shadow casting and radiative transfers were validated on an analytical accuracy level. The full capability of the model in simulating the three-dimensional surface heterogeneities in a real urban environment was tested for a hot summer day in August 2016 using the field measurements obtained from the Kongju National University campus, South Korea. The validation against the measurements showed that the model is capable of predicting surface temperatures and energy balance fluxes in a patch scale at the heterogeneous urban surfaces by virtue of the interactive representation of the urban physical processes. The excellent performance and flexible grid design emphasize the potential capabilities of the MUSE model for use in urban meteorological and environmental applications through the building-resolving microscale atmospheric models, such as computational fluid dynamics (CFD) and large-eddy simulations (LES).

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Towards Sustainable Urban Mobility: Leveraging Machine Learning Methods for QA of Meteorological Measurements in the Urban Area
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Non-professional measurement networks offer vast data sources within urban areas that could significantly contribute to urban environment mapping and improve weather prediction in the cities. However, their full potential remains unused due to uncertainties surrounding their positioning, measurement quality, and reliability. This study investigates the potential of machine learning (ML) methods serving as a parallel quality control system, using data from amateur and professional weather stations in Brno, Czech Republic. The research aims to establish a quality control framework for measurement accuracy and assess ML methods for measurement labelling. Utilizing global model data as its main feature, the study examines the effectiveness of ML models in predicting temperature and wind speed, highlighting the challenges and limitations of utilizing such data. Results indicate that while ML models can effectively predict temperature with minimal computational demands, predicting wind speed presents greater complexity due to the higher spatial variability. Hyperparameter tuning does not significantly influence model performance, with changes primarily driven by feature engineering. Despite the improved performance observed in certain models and stations, no model demonstrates superiority in capturing changes not readily apparent in the data. The proposed ensemble approach, coupled with a control ML classification model, offers a potential solution for assessing station quality and enhancing prediction accuracy. However, challenges remain in evaluating individual steps and addressing limitations such as the use of global models and basic feature encoding. Future research aims to apply these methods to larger datasets and automate the evaluation process for scalability and efficiency to enhance monitoring capabilities in urban areas.

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Comparison of urban airflow between solar-induced thermal wall and uniform wall temperature boundary conditions by coupling CitySim and CFD
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Comparison of urban airflow between solar-induced thermal wall and uniform wall temperature boundary conditions by coupling CitySim and CFD

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Radiative Transfer Model 3.0 integrated into the PALM model system 6.0
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Abstract. The Radiative Transfer Model (RTM) is an explicitly resolved three-dimensional multi-reflection radiation model integrated into the PALM modelling system. It is responsible for modelling complex radiative interactions within the urban canopy. It represents a key component in modelling energy transfer inside the urban layer and consequently PALM's ability to provide explicit simulations of the urban canopy at metre-scale resolution. This paper presents RTM version 3.0, which is integrated into the PALM modelling system version 6.0. This version of RTM has been substantially improved over previous versions. A more realistic representation is enabled by the newly simulated processes, e.g. the interaction of longwave radiation with the plant canopy, evapotranspiration and latent heat flux, calculation of mean radiant temperature, and bidirectional interaction with the radiation forcing model. The new version also features novel discretization schemes and algorithms, namely the angular discretization and the azimuthal ray tracing, which offer significantly improved scalability and computational efficiency, enabling larger parallel simulations. It has been successfully tested on a realistic urban scenario with a horizontal size of over 6 million grid points using 8192 parallel processes.

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Fluid Dynamics is a key scientific field to multitudes of engineering applications. Experimental work in this field requires careful set-up and expensive image-capturing equipment, particularly when considering the finer details of complex phenomena. In this work, we study the application of super-resolution Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) to achieve high-resolution results by upscaling lower-resolution experimental images.We train GANs proposed for natural images on a bubbly flow experimental Fluid Dynamics dataset and compare common super-resolution evaluation metrics to domain expert assessments of the upscaled images. We find that these models achieve promising results, as evaluated by experts, and transfer learning from natural images translates to better performance overall. Attention mechanisms are found to be particularly useful in recreating sharper details. On the other hand, traditional super-resolution evaluation metrics are found to align poorly with expert perception of quality, signaling the need for better systematic evaluation methodologies in this domain.

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Multi-scale study of the synergy between human activities and climate change on urban heat islands in China
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A Building-Block Urban Meteorological Observation Experiment (BBMEX) Campaign in Central Commercial Area in Seoul
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High-resolution meteorological information is essential for attaining sustainable and resilient cities. To elucidate high-resolution features of surface and air temperatures in high-rise building blocks (BBs), a 3-dimensional BB meteorological observation experiment (BBMEX) campaign was designed. The campaign was carried out in a central commercial area in Seoul during a heat-wave event period (5−6 August) in 2019. Several types of fixed instrument were deployed, a mobile meteorological observation cart (MOCA) and a vehicle were operated periodically. The surface temperature was determined to be strongly dependent on the facial direction of a building, and sunlit or shade by surrounding obstacles. Considerable increases in surface temperature on the eastern facades of buildings before noon, on horizontal surfaces near noon, and on the western facades in the afternoon could provide more energy in BBs than over a flat surface. The air temperatures in the BB were higher than those at the Seoul station by 0.1−2.2 °C (1.1−1.9 °C) in daytime (night-time). The MOCA revealed that the surface and air temperatures in a BB could be affected by many complex factors, such as the structure of the BBs, shades, as well as the existence of facilities that mitigate heat stresses, such as ground fountains and waterways.

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Recent Progress and Challenges in Microscale Urban Heat Modeling and Measurement for Urban Engineering Applications
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Abstract This review focuses on progress and emerging challenges in experimentally validated modeling of microscale urban thermal environments over the last two decades. In the last few decades, there has been a surge in urban energy contribution resulting in elevated urban day-/night-time air temperatures. While there is no single solution to urban heat, mitigation strategies can be implemented to minimize the harmful effects of urban heat both on humans and the environment. To study the effects of urban heat, numerical modeling of urban thermal environments has seen a rise in usage of several application specific atmospheric modeling software packages, and multiple studies and reviews have already covered the prolific engineering use cases. However, there are inherent and unintentional biases introduced by each modeling software package, that inhibit validity and accuracy for general engineering use. This review critically analyzes the limitations of current state-of-the-art (SOA) microscale atmospheric modeling approaches and identify necessary areas for improvement. Urban thermal environment models must be validated with measurements to gain confidence in the predictive capabilities. This review will additionally examine the next generation of measurement techniques that leverage advances in computing and communications to create distributed meteorological sensor networks for improved spatial and temporal resolutions, that can provide a rich platform for model validation. High fidelity and accurate simulations of urban thermal environments improve confidence in the study of urban heat, its mitigation, and its impact on urban engineering applications in building energy usage and sustainability.

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Characteristics of LDAPS-Predicted Surface Wind Speed and Temperature at Automated Weather Stations with Different Surrounding Land Cover and Topography in Korea
  • Nov 13, 2020
  • Atmosphere
  • Dong-Ju Kim + 3 more

We investigated the characteristics of surface wind speeds and temperatures predicted by the local data assimilation and prediction system (LDAPS) operated by the Korean Meteorological Administration. First, we classified automated weather stations (AWSs) into four categories (urban flat (Uf), rural flat (Rf), rural mountainous (Rm), and rural coastal (Rc) terrains) based on the surrounding land cover and topography, and selected 25 AWSs representing each category. Then we calculated the mean bias error of wind speed (WE) and temperature (TE) using AWS observations and LDAPS predictions for the 25 AWSs in each category for a period of 1 year (January–December 2015). We found that LDAPS overestimated wind speed (average WE = 1.26 m s−1) and underestimated temperature (average TE = −0.63 °C) at Uf AWSs located on flat terrain in urban areas because it failed to reflect the drag and local heating caused by buildings. At Rf, located on flat terrain in rural areas, LDAPS showed the best performance in predicting surface wind speed and temperature (average WE = 0.42 m s−1, average TE = 0.12 °C). In mountainous rural terrain (Rm), WE and TE were strongly correlated with differences between LDAPS and actual altitude. LDAPS underestimated (overestimated) wind speed (temperature) for LDAPS altitudes that were lower than actual altitude, and vice versa. In rural coastal terrain (Rc), LDAPS temperature predictions depended on whether the grid was on land or sea, whereas wind speed did not depend on grid location. LDAPS underestimated temperature at grid points on the sea, with smaller TE obtained for grid points on sea than on land.

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A technique combining uniform asymptotic theory of diffraction and finite-difference time-domain (UTD/FDTD), suitable to characterize human exposure in realistic urban environments at a reasonable computational cost, is presented. The technique allows an accurate evaluation of field interaction with penetrable objects (walls, windows, furniture, etc.) and of power absorption in a high-resolution model of the exposed subject. The method has been applied to analyze the exposure of a subject standing behind a window in a building situated in front of a rooftop-mounted base-station antenna. A comparison of the obtained results with those computed neglecting the presence of the building (free-space condition) evidences that a realistic modeling of field propagation in the actual scenario is essential for an accurate evaluation of absorbed power distribution inside the human body.

  • Research Article
  • Cite Count Icon 2
  • 10.1016/j.envpol.2024.124475
Large-eddy simulation of aerosol concentrations in a realistic urban environment: Model validation and transport mechanism
  • Jun 29, 2024
  • Environmental Pollution
  • Yaxing Du + 7 more

Air pollution in urban environments exhibits large spatial and temporal variations due to high heterogeneous air flow and emissions. To address the complexity of local air pollutant dynamics, a comprehensive large-eddy simulation using the PALM model system v6.0 was conducted. The distribution of flow and vehicle emitted aerosol particles in a realistic urban environment in Malmö, Sweden, was studied and evaluated against on-site measurements made using portable instrumentation on a spring morning in 2021. The canyon transport mechanisms were investigated, and the convective and turbulent mass-transport rates compared to clarify their role in aerosol transport. The horizontal distribution of aerosols showed acceptable evaluation metrics for both mass and number. Flow and pollutant concentrations were more complex than those in idealized street canyon networks. Vertical turbulent mass-transport rate was found to dominate the mass transport process compared with the convective transport rate, contributing more than 70% of the pollutant transport process. Our findings highlight the necessity of examining various aerosol metric due their distinct dispersion behaviour. This study introduces a comprehensive high-resolution modelling framework that accounts for dynamic meteorological and aerosol background boundary conditions, real-time traffic emission, and detailed building features, offering a robust toll for local urban air quality assessment.

  • Preprint Article
  • 10.5194/icuc12-529
Comparative simulations of the pedestrian-level wind environment using structured and unstructured meshes
  • May 21, 2025
  • Seung-Bu Park + 2 more

Understanding the characteristics of wind at pedestrian level is important to ensure pedestrian safety and comfort in urban environments. Pedestrian-level wind characteristics are mainly affected by the average characteristics of surrounding buildings such as plan and frontal area densities and mean building height, and the shape of each building also has a big impact on the wind characteristics. In particular, the various shapes of buildings, including curved surfaces, complicate the wind environment in urban areas. Currently, various computational fluid dynamics (CFD) models are being utilized to study the complex flows in urban areas. Many CFD models use cartesian grids to simulate flows in urban space by converting the urban space made up of buildings into a set of cuboids. The OpenFOAM (Open Field Operation And Manipulation) model, an open source CFD model, has the advantage of being able to represent the curved shape of building to the greatest extent possible by generating unstructured meshes using the mesh generation utility called snappyHexMesh.In this study, we simulate the campus space of University of Seoul located in Seoul, South Korea using structured (cartesian grid) and unstructured meshes for OpenFOAM simulations, and compare the results over the two meshes. To implement realistic flow conditions, a mesoscale weather model (WRF) are used as the initial and lateral boundary conditions. In this study, we analyze the differences in the generation of turbulent eddies specially around the curved building surfaces according to the two types of meshes and compare the simulation results with observations. We expect that using the unstructured mesh will allow us to more accurately simulate flow separation, wakes around buildings, and turbulence statistics at pedestrian level. This study can be used to identify detailed features of pedestrian-level wind (e.g., gustiness), thereby providing a basis for pedestrian environmental impact assessment.

  • Conference Article
  • Cite Count Icon 20
  • 10.1109/apmc46564.2019.9038267
5G Radio Access Experiments on Coverage Expansion Using Metasurface Reflector at 28 GHz
  • Dec 1, 2019
  • Daisuke Kitayama + 5 more

We experimentally verify the effectiveness of metasurface reflectors in expanding 5G coverage into non-line-of sight (NLoS) regions in the 28-GHz frequency band. In outdoor open space measurements, the measured beam shape is well matched with that designed with an 18-degree beamwidth. Improvements in the beam-reference-signal received power (BRSRP) and downlink (DL) throughput of approximately 15 dB and 100%, respectively, are observed over a 35-m range in a NLoS area in a real urban environment. Consequently, the effectiveness of the metasurface reflectors in expanding 5G coverage into the NLoS region are experimentally verified in a real urban environment using a 5G testbed system.

  • Book Chapter
  • Cite Count Icon 11
  • 10.1007/978-3-642-32732-2_30
Wayfinding in Real Cities: Experiments at Street Corners
  • Jan 1, 2012
  • Beatrix Emo

Experimental evidence sheds new light on the role of spatial geometry for wayfinding in real urban environments. Eye-tracking is used in a desktop-based experiment to study where people look during wayfinding decisions when let to look freely or asked to find a taxi rank. Gaze patterns from these two tasks are compared with a subsequent recall task and analyzed in light of the topology of the street grid. Results show that decisions strongly favor more connected streets, and that fixation patterns respond to the spatial geometry of the stimuli in both the spatial decision-making and recall tasks. Controls single out the impacts of lighting and affordances in both the behavioral responses and gaze bias patterns; the presence of people and traffic serve as particularly strong attractors. The paper highlights the role of spatial geometry for individual spatial decision-making in real urban environments.

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