Abstract

Precision agriculture, as part of modern agriculture, thrives on an enormously growing amount of information and data for processing and application. The spatial data used for yield forecasting or the delimitation of management zones are very diverse, often of different quality and in different units to each other. For various reasons, approaches to combining geodata are complex, but necessary if all relevant information is to be taken into account. Data fusion with belief structures offers the possibility to link geodata with expert knowledge, to include experiences and beliefs in the process and to maintain the comprehensibility of the framework in contrast to other “black box” models. This study shows the possibility of dividing agricultural land into management zones by combining soil information, relief structures and multi-temporal satellite data using the transferable belief model. It is able to bring in the knowledge and experience of farmers with their fields and can thus offer practical assistance in management measures without taking decisions out of hand. At the same time, the method provides a solution to combine all the valuable spatial data that correlate with crop vitality and yield. For the development of the method, eleven data sets in each possible combination and different model parameters were fused. The most relevant results for the practice and the comprehensibility of the model are presented in this study. The aim of the method is a zoned field map with three classes: “low yield”, “medium yield” and “high yield”. It is shown that not all data are equally relevant for the modelling of yield classes and that the phenology of the plant is of particular importance for the selection of satellite images. The results were validated with yield data and show promising potential for use in precision agriculture.

Highlights

  • The dissemination of Precision Agriculture (PA) as an essential component of crop production has become increasingly important in recent years

  • The yield map itself was classified before the 1:1 calculation of the accuracy and it is difficult to say which class boundaries would reflect a zoning on the field with absolute reliability

  • This study presents a method for data fusion based on evidential reasoning in the agricultural context

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Summary

Introduction

The dissemination of Precision Agriculture (PA) as an essential component of crop production has become increasingly important in recent years. PA is not a new development (Mulla 2013), but it is an important component for modern agriculture and its problems (IPCC 2014; DLG e.V. 2017). Data-based PA applications rely on data from a variety of sources, such as proximal sensor techniques (Adamchuk 2011; Colaço and Bramley 2018), remote sensing (RS) and Geographic Information Systems (GIS) (Goswami 2012; Mauser et al 2012; Mulla 2013). MZs have been successfully delineated on the basis of spatial data such as yield maps (Brock et al 2005), soil attributes (Yao et al 2014), electrical conductivity (EC) measurements (Cambouris et al 2006; Moral et al 2010) and remotely sensed images (Song et al 2009; Georgi et al 2017)

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