Abstract

Air quality modeling tools are largely used to assess air pollution mitigation and monitoring strategies. While neural networks (NN) were mostly developed based on observations to derive statistical models at stations, the use of Eulerian chemistry transport models (CTMs) was mainly devoted to air quality predictions over large areas and the evaluation of emission reduction strategies. In this study, we investigate deep learning architectures to create a metamodel of the process oriented CTM CHIMERE and significantly reduce the computing times required for super-resolution simulations. The key point is the selection of input variables and the way to implement them in the NN. We perform a quantitative evaluation of the proposed approaches on a real case-study. The best NN architecture displays very good performances in terms of prediction of pollutant concentrations observed at stations with respect to the raw super-resolution CHIMERE simulation, with a correlation coefficient above 0.95. The best NN is also able to display better performances when compared to observations than the raw high resolution simulation. Currently the model is designed to be used for air quality forecasting and requires improvement for the definition of air quality management strategies.

Highlights

  • About 55% of the world’s population lives in urbanized areas, and this number is expected to increase by 68% by 2050 [1]

  • CHIMERE high-resolution is the target that the super resolution neural networks (NN) operator aims at reconstructing, starting from the coarse resolution and additional covariates as input datasets

  • The maps obtained with the three NN-based super resolution architectures are displayed: from left to right multi-layer perceptron (MLP), Convolutional neural network (CNN) and Residual channel attention network (RCAN)

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Summary

Introduction

About 55% of the world’s population lives in urbanized areas, and this number is expected to increase by 68% by 2050 [1]. Operational modeling tools are expected to be more robust and computationally-efficient to quickly simulate air quality and propose adequate measures to monitor, curb and control air pollution. A chemistry transport model like CHIMERE [3] is suitable to work at such resolutions. This type of models is used in well-known platforms such as the COPERNICUS ensemble forecast [4], the French national forecast PREV’AIR [5], or the regional forecasts of air quality monitoring associations in France such as Airparif for the Paris region [6]

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