Dark Comets? Unexpectedly Large Nongravitational Accelerations on a Sample of Small Asteroids

Abstract

We report statistically significant detections of nonradial, nongravitational accelerations based on astrometric data in the photometrically inactive objects 1998 KY26, 2005 VL1, 2016 NJ33, 2010 VL65, 2016 RH120, and 2010 RF12. The magnitudes of the nongravitational accelerations are greater than those typically induced by the Yarkovsky effect, and there is no radiation-based, nonradial effect that can be so large. Therefore, we hypothesize that the accelerations are driven by outgassing and calculate implied H2O production rates for each object. We attempt to reconcile outgassing-induced acceleration with the lack of visible comae or photometric activity via the absence of surface dust and low levels of gas production. Although these objects are small, and some are rapidly rotating, the surface cohesive forces are stronger than the rotational forces, and rapid rotation alone cannot explain the lack of surface debris. It is possible that surface dust was removed previously, perhaps via outgassing activity that increased the rotation rates to their present-day value. We calculate dust production rates of order ∼10−4 g s−1 in each object, assuming that the nuclei are bare, within the upper limits of dust production from a sample stacked image of 1998 KY26 of g s−1. This production corresponds to brightness variations of order ∼0.0025%, which are undetectable in extant photometric data. We assess the future observability of each of these targets and find that the orbit of 1998 KY26—which is also the target of the extended Hayabusa2 mission—exhibits favorable viewing geometry before 2025.