Abstract
Abstract : Cuba is an important interest of the United States and at times, a vital one. The situation in Cuba is tenuous, considering the strained political, social, and economic conditions, and exacerbated by questions about Castro's health. This paper proposes and analyzes strategic considerations for the potential employment of United States armed forces in a post-Castro Cuba. It describes possible scenarios as well as the issues, interests, and players that strategic decision-makers need to be aware of in order to understand the dynamics of United States and Cuba relations. The issues include the potential for mass refugee migration, internal conflict that could spill into the region, and demands that the United States intervene for humanitarian reasons. This paper will provide decision-makers another source from which to develop more cohesive military strategies with regards to the potential future changes in Cuba and the high probability of United States involvement. Cuba is an important interest of the United States and at times, a vital one. The situation in Cuba is tenuous, considering the strained political, social, and economic conditions, and exacerbated by questions about Castro's health. This paper proposes and analyzes strategic considerations for the potential employment of United States armed forces in a post-Castro Cuba. It describes possible scenarios as well as the issues, interests, and players that strategic decision-makers need to be aware of in order to understand the dynamics of United States and Cuba relations. The issues include the potential for mass refugee migration, internal conflict that could spill into the region, and demands that the United States intervene for humanitarian reasons. This paper will provide decision-makers another source from which to develop more cohesive military strategies with regards to the potential future changes in Cuba and the high probability of United States involvement.
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