Abstract
Ammonia is emerging as a potential marine fuel, yet its toxicity and risk of accidental leaks pose significant safety challenges compared to other alternatives. This study focuses on the critical ship-to-ship bunkering process using Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) simulations to analyse diverse ammonia leakage scenarios considering various leak orientations relative to the wind and the ships. The numerical setup was initially validated against controlled experiments, demonstrating satisfactory agreement. Results indicate that atmospheric ammonia dispersion is significantly influenced by obstacles like the superstructure and hull in the near field, with diminishing effect in the far field. Conventional Gaussian plume models are inadequate within the first few hundred metres from the release source due to the complex near-field flow patterns and increased turbulence generated by the wakes of the hull and superstructure. These findings underscore the necessity for improved ship-scale dispersion models to accurately evaluate the impact of obstacles on ammonia dispersion. The consequence analysis reveals that upward leaks create larger risk zones with potential for irreversible health effects, while horizontal leaks may expose personnel to life-threatening concentrations. Vertical leaks in crosswind configurations generate lethal zones covering tens of metres on deck. These results highlight the importance of considering the exact location of the transfer hose relative to the ship and all potential wind orientations in risk assessments. Given the extensive range of potential dispersion patterns and the inadequacy of conventional Gaussian dispersion models in this context, we strongly recommend vessel-specific CFD simulations before certifying ammonia bunkering operations as safe. This approach is crucial for accurate risk assessment at the ship scale, where complex geometries and multi-directional flows invalidate the assumptions of traditional point-source, uni-directional dispersion models.
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