Composition of Natural Forest Types—Long-Term Goals for Sustainable Forest Management

Abstract

The high stability of stands with structures similar to natural ecosystems justifies adopting their composition as a management goal. Increasing the proportion of spruce in mixed forests and in deciduous forests in the Romanian Carpathian region, against the backdrop of climate change, may affect their stability. The natural distribution of tree species was investigated to establish natural forest types for defining future stand compositions. A forest in the Făgăraș Mountains of the Southeastern Carpathians was selected, and the mapping results were applied to a management unit of 4303.2 ha. Site conditions (e.g., altitude, exposure, etc.) are ecologically determined factors influencing the natural distribution of tree species and significantly influence species proportions. These factors, incorporated into models, estimate species proportions in future stand compositions with a root mean square error (RMSE) of 20%–24%. By adopting forest-type compositions as a management goal, the composition at the management unit level approaches that of natural ecosystems existing in 1950: Norway spruce (Picea abies (L.) Karst.) will decrease from 80.5% to 32.4%, while European beech (Fagus sylvatica L.) will increase from 12.5% to 41.7%, Silver fir (Abies alba Mill.) from 0.6% to 15.8%, and other species from 6.4% to 10.1%. Restoring ecosystems affected by their transformation into spruce monocultures leads to increased biodiversity and mitigates the effects of climate change, ensuring the long-term functionality of forest ecosystems, which are essential conditions for sustainable forest management.