Comparison of forecast estimates of seabed subsidence of the Yuzhno-Kirinskoye field

Abstract

The geodynamic consequences of the field development process include the subsidence of the earth’s surface. Monitoring of deformations in offshore fields is difficult and it is necessary to evaluate them by various methods. It is important to investigate how much the calculated amplitude of the seabed subsidence is reduced by taking into account changes in the porosity and compressibility of the pore space with a decrease in reservoir pressure. The analysis of changes in the petrophysical parameters of the reservoirs of the Daginsky horizon during the projected development of the Yuzhno-Kirinskoye hydrocarbon field for depletion and a decrease in formation pressure by 10 MPa showed that the porosity decrease will be 0.038 absolute percent, the compressibility of the pore space will decrease by 0,08 10-3 1/MPa. With the help of the Petrel software, changes in the thickness of the productive layer from 80 to 120 cm were obtained, which can be taken as an estimate of the seabed subsidence in the area of the field. The application of the genetic model of the deformable formation by Kuzmin Yu showed that the maximum amplitude of the seabed subsidence to be 101 cm. Comparison of these estimates of the seabed subsidence indicates their proximity. Taking into account the dynamics of tectonophysical and petrophysical characteristics due to the long-term development of hydrocarbon deposits significantly changes the intensity of the deformation state of the rock mass and the earth’s surface above the field.