Abstract

This article 1. retraces the origins of the revolutions in East Europe, set against the more retarding socio-political causalities in East Asia, 2. benchmarks the sequence of economic transformation in East Europe against the limited and incomplete economic reforms in East Asia, 3. sets postcommunist political developments in East Europe against scenarios for political change in East Asia, and 4. compares the social crisis in East Europe with prospects for more stable social development in the Confucian cultures of East Asia. The article concludes with the need for negotiated democratic regime change in the remaining Communist dictatorships in East Asia.. While economic structures still require a sustained effort for systemic change towards genuine market economies, its social consequences are expected to be less dramatic than in Eastern Europe.

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