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Comparative Evaluation of Drug Response Metrics for Predicting Cancer Sensitivity Using Transcriptomic Profiles

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This study compares drug response metrics for predicting cancer sensitivity from transcriptomic data, finding that AUC-based models outperform Z-score and IC50 in predictive accuracy, with high-performing drugs like Nelarabine achieving R2 up to 0.83, highlighting AUC's reliability for pharmacogenomic modeling.

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Background: Pharmacogenomic modeling aims to predict cancer drug sensitivity from molecular features such as gene expression. However, the choice of drug response metric can critically affect model performance. This study systematically evaluates three commonly used metrics—area under the dose-response curve (AUC), Z-score, and half-maximal inhibitory concentration (IC50)—to determine their relative suitability for machine learning-based prediction using transcriptomic data. Methods: We assembled an integrated dataset comprising 636 cancer cell lines and drug response profiles for 169 compounds, along with RNA-seq-based gene expression features. XGBoost regression models were trained separately using AUC, Z-score, and IC50 as response variables. Model performance was assessed using R 2 , Pearson correlation, and mean absolute error. Additionally, gene-level correlation analyses were conducted to evaluate linear associations between gene expression and drug sensitivity. Results: AUC-based models consistently outperformed those based on Z-score and IC50 in terms of predictive accuracy and robustness. The highest-performing drugs under the AUC framework included Nelarabine (R 2 = 0.83), Sorafenib, and Venetoclax—all of which have established clinical relevance. In contrast, gene-wise Pearson correlation analysis revealed that most genes exhibited weak linear relationships with drug sensitivity across all metrics (|PCC| < 0.1), suggesting that response prediction depends on complex, multigenic interactions. Conclusion: AUC is a more reliable and informative drug response metric for transcriptome-based prediction of cancer sensitivity. The findings support the application of multivariate machine learning models and emphasize the importance of metric selection in pharmacogenomic modeling pipelines.

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  • Cancer Research
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  • 10.1021/acs.molpharmaceut.6b00527
Multiparametric Analysis of Oncology Drug Screening with Aqueous Two-Phase Tumor Spheroids.
  • Oct 4, 2016
  • Molecular Pharmaceutics
  • Pradip Shahi Thakuri + 3 more

Spheroids present a biologically relevant three-dimensional model of avascular tumors and a unique tool for discovery of anticancer drugs. Despite being used in research laboratories for several decades, spheroids are not routinely used in the mainstream drug discovery pipeline primarily due to the difficulty of mass-producing uniformly sized spheroids and intense labor involved in handling, drug treatment, and analyzing spheroids. We overcome this barrier using a polymeric aqueous two-phase microtechnology to robotically microprint spheroids of well-defined size in standard 384-microwell plates. We use different cancer cells and show that resulting spheroids grow over time and display characteristic features of solid tumors. We demonstrate the feasibility of robotic, high-throughput screening of 25 standard chemotherapeutics and molecular inhibitors against tumor spheroids of three different cancer cell lines. This screening uses over 7000 spheroids to elicit high quality dose-dependent drug responses from spheroids. To quantitatively compare performance of different drugs, we employ a multiparametric scoring system using half-maximum inhibitory concentration (IC50), maximum inhibition (Emax), and area under the dose-response curve (AUC) to take into account both potency and efficacy parameters. This approach allows us to identify several compounds that effectively inhibit growth of spheroids and compromise cellular viability, and distinguish them from moderately effective and ineffective drugs. Using protein expression analysis, we demonstrate that spheroids generated with the aqueous two-phase microtechnology reliably resolve molecular targets of drug compounds. Incorporating this low-cost and convenient-to-use tumor spheroid technology in preclinical drug discovery will make compound screening with realistic tumor models a routine laboratory technique prior to expensive and tedious animal tests to dramatically improve testing throughput and efficiency and reduce costs of drug discovery.

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  • 10.1089/adt.2011.0388
Comparing Statistical Methods for Quantifying Drug Sensitivity Based on In Vitro Dose–Response Assays
  • Nov 8, 2011
  • ASSAY and Drug Development Technologies
  • Shuguang Huang + 1 more

In vitro chemosensitivity assays are invaluable for assessing chemotherapeutic agents' effects on cancer cells. Yet the dose-response curves generated by those assays, usually approximated by four-parameter logistic (4PL) models, are oftentimes difficult to interpret, with no clear indication of which metric should be used to compare them. Here, five commonly used metrics, absolute and relative half-maximal inhibitory concentration (IC(50)), area under the dose-response curve (AUC) based on trapezoidal rule and a parametric approach, and the effect at the maximal concentrations (E(max)), were compared in both simulations and real-life scenarios to evaluate their use with 4PL curves. Despite the fact that IC(50) is the most widely used metric to analyze dose-response curves, this study demonstrated that it was not the most reliable of the metrics tested. Fitted AUC showed the best overall performance in both the simulation and real-life scenarios; trapezoidal AUC showed similar performance to fitted AUC in most cases.

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Abstract 4114: Evaluation of ERCC1 expression and in vitro drug response to cisplatin based on human NSCLC cell lines and primary cultures of human lung cancers
  • Apr 15, 2011
  • Cancer Research
  • Dakun Wang + 3 more

Introduction: In vitro experimentation has been suggested as a rapid tool for identifying and evaluating biomarkers associated with drug response. Excision repair cross-complementation 1 (ERCC1) enzyme plays a rate-limiting role in the nucleotide excision repair pathway and its up regulation has been associated with resistance to platinum agents. Recent studies have suggested that low expression levels of ERCC1 are related to a better survival benefit from cisplatin-based chemotherapy among patients with advanced non-small cell lung carcinoma (NSCLC). This study evaluates the relationship between ERCC1 expression and in vitro drug response to cisplatin using an in vitro chemoresponse assay, ChemoFx® Drug Response Marker (DRM), in human NSCLC cell lines and primary cultures of human lung cancers. Methods: The ChemoFx® DRM was performed on 13 immortalized human NSCLC cell lines (NCI-H520, HOP_92, HOP-62, A549, Calu-3, HCC827, OK, NCI-H460, NCI-H596, NCI-H1666, EKVX, NCI-H358, and NCI-H1975) and 30 primary cultures established from de-identified lung cancer surgical specimens. Cells were treated with a 10-dose range of cisplatin for 72 hours before DAPI-nuclear staining and counting. Response Index scores (RI scores), which are derived from an area under the dose-response curve (AUC), were calculated on the resulting dose-response curves. Protein expression of ERCC1 was evaluated with In-Cell Western analysis. Pearson correlation coefficient was used to show the association between ERCC1 expression and in vitro drug response. Result: Increased ERCC1 expression was significantly associated with cisplatin resistance in the 13 immortalized NSCLC cell lines (r=−0.72, p=0.004). A similar trend was observed across 30 primary cultures of human lung cancers, but the association did not reach the level of significance (r=−0.22, p=0.24). Conclusion: Clinical observation of a negative correlation between ERCC1 expression level and improved survival benefit from cisplatin-based chemotherapy was mirrored by in vitro ChemoFx® DRM analysis with strong correlation in immortalized human NSCLC cell lines and in primary cultures from human lung cancers with a correlation trend. This result suggests the value of in vitro chemoresponse assay in identification and evaluation of biomarkers and their association with chemotherapeutic response. The less significant correlation in human lung cancer primary cultures indicated that ERCC1 alone may not be sufficient for clinical prediction of response in human lung cancers across different pathological subtypes and stages, and additional biomarkers may be involved. These results suggest the value of in vitro chemo response assay, in helping to determine cisplatin response in human lung cancer. Citation Format: {Authors}. {Abstract title} [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 102nd Annual Meeting of the American Association for Cancer Research; 2011 Apr 2-6; Orlando, FL. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2011;71(8 Suppl):Abstract nr 4114. doi:10.1158/1538-7445.AM2011-4114

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  • 10.1109/embc.2016.7591647
Microprinted tumor spheroids enable anti-cancer drug screening.
  • Aug 1, 2016
  • Annual International Conference of the IEEE Engineering in Medicine and Biology Society. IEEE Engineering in Medicine and Biology Society. Annual International Conference
  • Pradip S Thakuri + 2 more

Spheroids present a biologically relevant model of avascular tumors and a unique tool for discovery of anti-cancer drugs. Despite being used in research laboratories for several decades, spheroids are not routinely used for drug discovery primarily due to the difficulty of mass-producing uniformly-sized spheroids and intense labor involved in handling, drug treatment, and analyzing them. We overcome this barrier using a novel technology to robotically microprint spheroids in standard 384-well plates. An aqueous drop containing cancer cells is dispensed into a bath of a second, immiscible aqueous phase. The drop maintains cells in close proximity to aggregate into a single spheroid. Using U-87 MG brain cancer cells, we show that this approach produces spheroids of well-defined size with ~10% deviation from their mean diameter. We demonstrate the feasibility of robotic, high throughput compound screening against tumor spheroids using a collection of 25 standard chemotherapeutics and molecular inhibitors against U-87 MG spheroids. Each drug is used in a wide range of concentrations. Viability of cancer cells in drug-treated spheroids is measured using a PrestoBlue assay. Morphological changes are used as a secondary measure for analysis of drug effect. We identify several compounds that effectively inhibit growth of spheroids. To generate a scoring system for effectiveness of drugs, we use half-maximum inhibitory concentration (IC50), maximum inhibition (Emax), and area under the dose-response curve (AUC) to present a multi-parametric approach that takes into account both potency and efficacy of drugs. Our robotic technology offers a low cost and convenient platform for screening large collections of chemical compounds against realistic tumor models prior to expensive and tedious in vivo tests, dramatically improving testing throughput and efficiency, and reducing costs.

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  • 10.1158/1538-7445.sabcs16-p6-07-33
Abstract P6-07-33: Metrics of drug sensitivity based on growth rate inhibition correct for the confounding effects of variable division rates
  • Feb 14, 2017
  • Cancer Research
  • M Hafner + 2 more

Drug sensitivity and resistance are conventionally quantified by IC50 or Emax values, but these metrics suffer from a fundamental flaw when applied to growing cells: they are highly sensitive to the number of divisions that take place over the course of a response assay. Division rate varies with cell line, experimental conditions, and genetic alterations. The dependency of IC50 and Emax on division rate creates artefactual correlations between genotype and drug sensitivity while obscuring important biological insights and interfering with biomarker discovery. In this work, we derive alternative drug response metrics that are insensitive to number of divisions occurring during the assay. These are based on estimating growth rate inhibition (GR) in the presence of a drug using endpoint or time-course assays. The latter provides a direct measure of phenomena such as adaptive drug resistance. Using a simple model of drug response, we first show how GR50 and GRmax are superior to IC50 and Emax for assessing the effects of drugs in dividing cells. By expressing an oncogene in a transformed cell line, we illustrate how conventional metrics can lead to artefactual connections between mutations and drug sensitivity. We further validate the superiority of GR50 over IC50 values by reanalyzing a recently published large dataset of drug sensitivity and showing cases where difference in division rates is the only reason why IC50 values correlate with tissue type or genetic alterations. Using GR50 values prevents these artificial correlations and restores known connections between drug resistance and genomic markers. Finally, we show how GRmax values, which reflect efficacy, quantify differences in the phenotypic response and thus can be used to identify new biomarkers of sensitivity. Adopting GR metrics requires only modest changes in experimental protocols. GR values and metrics can be evaluated using scripts are available on github (www.github.com/sorgerlab/gr50_tools) or using an interactive website: www.grcalculator.org. We expect GR metrics to improve the use of drugs to identify response biomarkers, study mechanisms of cell signaling and growth, and identify drugs effective on specific patient-derived tumor cells.Drug sensitivity and resistance are conventionally quantified by IC50 or Emax values, but these metrics suffer from a fundamental flaw when applied to growing cells: they are highly sensitive to the number of divisions that take place over the course of a response assay. Division rate varies with cell line, experimental conditions, and genetic alterations. The dependency of IC50 and Emax on division rate creates artefactual correlations between genotype and drug sensitivity while obscuring important biological insights and interfering with biomarker discovery. In this work, we derive alternative drug response metrics that are insensitive to number of divisions occurring during the assay. These are based on estimating growth rate inhibition (GR) in the presence of a drug using endpoint or time-course assays. The latter provides a direct measure of phenomena such as adaptive drug resistance. Using a simple model of drug response, we first show how GR50 and GRmax are superior to IC50 and Emax for assessing the effects of drugs in dividing cells. By expressing an oncogene in a transformed cell line, we illustrate how conventional metrics can lead to artefactual connections between mutations and drug sensitivity. We further validate the superiority of GR50 over IC50 values by reanalyzing a recently published large dataset of drug sensitivity and showing cases where difference in division rates is the only reason why IC50 values correlate with tissue type or genetic alterations. Using GR50 values prevents these artificial correlations and restores known connections between drug resistance and genomic markers. Finally, we show how GRmax values, which reflect efficacy, quantify differences in the phenotypic response and thus can be used to identify new biomarkers of sensitivity. Adopting GR metrics requires only modest changes in experimental protocols. GR values and metrics can be evaluated using scripts are available on github (www.github.com/sorgerlab/gr50_tools) or using an interactive website: www.grcalculator.org. We expect GR metrics to improve the use of drugs to identify response biomarkers, study mechanisms of cell signaling and growth, and identify drugs effective on specific patient-derived tumor cells. Citation Format: Hafner M, Niepel M, Sorger PK. Metrics of drug sensitivity based on growth rate inhibition correct for the confounding effects of variable division rates [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2016 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2016 Dec 6-10; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2017;77(4 Suppl):Abstract nr P6-07-33.

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  • 10.15302/j-qb-021-0259
Interpretable prediction of drug‐cell line response by triple matrix factorization
  • Dec 1, 2021
  • Quantitative Biology
  • Xiao‐Ying Yan + 3 more

BackgroundOne of the challenges in personalized medicine is to determine specific drugs and their dosages for patient individuals who are undergoing a common disease. The technique of cell lines provides a safe approach to capture the drug responses of patient individuals when given specific drugs with varied dosages. However, it is still costly to determine drug responses in cells w.r.t dosages by biological assays. Computational methods provide a promising screening to infer possible drug responses in the cells of patient individuals on a large scale. Nevertheless, existing computational approaches are insufficient to interpret the underlying reason for drug responses.MethodsIn this work, we propose an interpretable model for analyzing and predicting drug responses across cell lines. The proposed model bridges drug features ( e.g., chemical structure fingerprints), cell features ( e.g., gene expression profiles), and drug responses across cells (measured by IC50) by a triple matrix factorization (TMF), such that the underlying reason for drug responses in specific cells is possibly interpreted.ResultsThe comparison with state‐of‐the‐art computational approaches demonstrates the superiority of our TMF. More importantly, a case study of drug responses in lung‐related cell lines shows its interpretable ability to find out highly occurring drug substructures, crucial mutated genes, as well as significant pairs between substructures and mutated genes in terms of drug sensitivity and resistance.ConclusionTMF is an effective and interpretable approach for predicting cell lines responses to drugs, and can dig out crucial pairs of chemical substructures and genes, which uncovers the underlying reason for drug responses in specific cells.

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