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Communicating Commander's Intent in a Chain of Command With Multi‐Criteria Decision Analysis—An Experiment in Air Combat

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ABSTRACT Decision making in a chain of command with a rapid time frame is typical in military and emergency contexts, and yet the topic has received almost no attention in the MCDA literature. The commander's intent regarding the implementation of an operation is expressed at the top level of the command chain. Before the intent is put into practice, it must be passed through different levels of the chain. Typically, the intention statement does not provide exact guidance on how the operation should be planned and executed on the lower levels. As a result, behavioural effects and biases can distort the interpretations of the intent at the lower levels. The contribution of this paper is an approach for using MCDA to support communication, planning and decision making in the chain of command. In this approach, criteria weights of an MCDA model are determined on the highest level by the commander. Then, the commander's intent is communicated so that the message from the top level also contains these weights, and the MCDA model is utilised on the lower levels. The approach was evaluated in an air force test case. Two air force commanders expressed their intents and corresponding criteria weights for two defensive counter air operations. The criteria were related to the survival of own aircraft, the destruction of enemy aircraft and the expenditure of missiles. The commanders used five weighting methods, that is, SMARTER, Direct, Swing, SMART and AHP. They preferred the Direct and Swing methods. Air force staff officers planned the air operations by following the standard and MCDA‐supported planning procedures. The simulation of these operations revealed that the MCDA‐supported ones were in better compliance with the commanders' original intent statements. Thus, the MCDA approach appeared to support the integrity of the command chain as the intent was conveyed through it.

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: Effective operational level implementation of the concept of commander's intent has great potential for projecting the CINC's leadership. This potential is not realized today for many reasons: service and joint definitions and descriptions of the concept differ, the concept is not fully embraced by the Air Force and the Navy, and commanders have difficulty expressing their intent. The potential benefits in the military planning process and implementation of plans are not appreciated and current statements lack meaning because the concept is misunderstood. Implementation at the operational level can be particularly influential for naval and air forces with the capability to exert force over a large portion of the theater. To fully realize the potential, several things must happen: all services must use the same joint planning process, the definition and discussion of commander's intent in joint publications must be strengthened, commander's intent must be emphasized by the Air Force and the Navy, and commander's intent should be reinforced during exercises.

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This article explains the importance of mission command to joint operational effectiveness through the experiences of the Australian and American armies.Guidance is also given regarding the caveats of subordinate competencies and experiences, which affect the appropriate application of the leadership practice.M ilitary operations-whether combat, peacekeeping, or humanitarian, whether single-country or multinational-are complex and unpredictable.Intelligence, understanding one's own capabilities and limitations, and carefully crafted command guidance at best lend limited insight into how to confront what lies ahead.Adversaries seek to deceive and surprise.Environmental conditions change.Leaders' understanding of circumstances at the sharp end increasingly dims the further up the chain of command one goes, even in an era of communications capabilities undreamed of a generation ago.The sergeant leading his squad sees what his platoon leader cannot.Those at battalion, brigade, and higher know little of what confronts their trusts below.The wise military leader recognizes unforeseeable events always lie ahead.Those commanders, therefore, require subordinates be ready to adapt to the unexpected.Mission command-the practice of assigning a subordinate commander a mission without specifying how the mission is to be achieved-provides a means of addressing this challenge. 1 The United States is not the only country committed to practicing mission command.Armies in Australia, Canada, Germany, the Netherlands, New Zealand, Singapore, and the United Kingdom have adopted the familiar approach.Centuries old in concept and decades aged in military doctrines, effective implementation has nonetheless proven elusive.The following paragraphs focus on the Australian approach to mission command.Australia and the United States have a long historical partnership.The two countries' soldiers served side by side in East Timor, Iraq, Afghanistan, and Vietnam; on World War II battlefi elds; and elsewhere.There is great value in learning from such allies and colleagues akin to but different from ourselves.This article presents mission command practices during recent operations in Iraq and Afghanistan, major predecessor confl icts from World War I on, and in today's Australian Army brigade.The events

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