Abstract

The effect of deep convection parameterization on the jet stream above the cold front of an explosive extratropical cyclone is investigated in the global numerical weather prediction model ARPEGE, operational at Météo-France. Two hindcast simulations differing only in the deep convection scheme used are systematically compared with each other, with (re)-analysis datasets and with NAWDEX airborne observations. The deep convection representation has an important effect on the vertical structure of the jet stream above the cold front at one-day lead time. The simulation with the less active scheme shows a deeper jet stream, associated with a stronger potential vorticity (PV) gradient in the jet core in middle troposphere. This is due to a larger deepening of the dynamical tropopause on the cold-air side of the jet and a higher PV destruction on the warm-air side, near 600 hPa. To better understand the origin of this stronger PV gradient, Lagrangian backward trajectories are computed. On the cold-air side of the jet, numerous trajectories undergo a rapid ascent from the boundary layer to the mid levels in the simulation with the less active deep convection scheme, whereas they stay at mid levels in the other simulation. This ascent explains the higher PV noted on that side of the jet in the simulation with the less active deep convection scheme. These ascending air masses form mid-level ice clouds that are not observed in the microphysical retrievals from airborne radar-lidar measurements. On the warm-air side of the jet, in the warm conveyor belt (WCB) ascending region, the Lagrangian trajectories with the less active deep convection scheme undergo a higher PV destruction due to a stronger heating occurring in the lower and middle troposphere. In contrast, in the simulation with the most active deep convection scheme, both the heating and PV destruction extend further up in the upper troposphere.

Highlights

  • 20 Midlatitude high-impact weather (HIW) events are usually dynamically forced by near-tropopause disturbances and by specific configurations of the jet stream

  • Following the same approach as in a companion paper (Rivière et al, 2021, hereafter RW21), the present study investigates the effect of parameterized deep convection on warm conveyor belt (WCB) and jet stream

  • The present study and our companion paper (Rivière et al, 2021, RW21) provide a general view of the impact of deep convection representation in a global numerical weather model on the WCB of an explosive extra-tropical cyclone observed during NAWDEX and on the jet stream aloft

Read more

Summary

Introduction

20 Midlatitude high-impact weather (HIW) events are usually dynamically forced by near-tropopause disturbances and by specific configurations of the jet stream. Joos and Forbes (2016) used this approach to compare two simulations of the ECMWF-IFS global model with distinct cloud microphysics schemes They found slight PV differences in the WCB outflow region amplifying on the downstream side of the ridge at 24 h-72 h lead time. It includes the description of the model simula100 tions and the main characteristics of the two deep convection schemes B85 and PCMT It provides information on various (re)-analysis datasets and on airborne observations made during the flight of the SAFIRE Falcon aircraft on 2 October over the ascending WCB region of the Stalactite cyclone.

Model and simulations set-up
Observations from NAWDEX IOP6
Initialization in the warm sector
Initialization along the flight
Positive PV anomaly on the cold-air side of the jet
Comparison with observations from the NAWDEX IOP6
Findings
Conclusions
Full Text
Paper version not known

Talk to us

Join us for a 30 min session where you can share your feedback and ask us any queries you have

Schedule a call

Disclaimer: All third-party content on this website/platform is and will remain the property of their respective owners and is provided on "as is" basis without any warranties, express or implied. Use of third-party content does not indicate any affiliation, sponsorship with or endorsement by them. Any references to third-party content is to identify the corresponding services and shall be considered fair use under The CopyrightLaw.