Abstract

The mechanism of flood forecasting is a complex process, which involves precipitation, drainage-basin characteristics, land use/cover types, and runoff discharge. Because of the complexity of flood forecasting, hydrological models and statistical models need to be developed for flood frequency analysis, river runoff prediction, and flood forecasting. In this chapter, Soil Conservation Service (SCS) Curve Number (CN) model is applied for river runoff prediction in the Oak Ridges Moraine (ORM) area, southern Ontario. The historical data for the past several decades (river gauging, precipitation, ground water, census and land use) are used to model the relationship among the stream runoff, precipitation and hydrological-geographical features to apply SCS CN model for river runoff prediction.

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