Climate and elevation control snow depth and snow phenology on the Tibetan Plateau

Abstract

Snowmelt from the Tibetan Plateau (TP) is the water source of many major Asian rivers, with significant importance for regional water supply and ecosystem services. The spatiotemporal variations of snow cover on the TP and its response to climate change at different altitudes are still unclear because of the lack of in situ observations on the western TP, and limitations of optical remote sensing due to clouds. Using a daily passive microwave remote sensing snow depth dataset from 1979 to 2020 across the TP, this study investigates the spatiotemporal variations of snow depth and snow phenology as well as their responses to climate change. The results showed that during the past 40 years, the maximum snow depth (SDmax) and the snow cover duration days (SCD) on the TP decreased significantly at a rate of 0.6 cm/decade and 2.9 d/decade, respectively. The snow cover starting date (SCS) was delayed at a rate of 1.1 d/decade, whereas the snow cover melt date (SCM) advanced at a rate of 1.1 d/decade. The decrease of SCD was driven by the advance of SCM, which was caused by the decrease of SDmax, whereas the decrease of SDmax was driven by the increase in snow accumulation season temperature (Ta). The TP showed significant elevation-dependent warming (EDW) (0.04 ℃ decade-1 km−1) and elevation-dependent decrease of SDmax (0.12 cm decade-1 km−1) and SCD (4.1 d decade-1 km−1). The EDW explains the elevation-dependent decrease of SDmax (r = −0.72, P < 0.05) and SCD (r = −0.83, P < 0.05). It is expected that the negative feedback effect of SDmax and SCD on EDW may further exacerbate the EDW of the TP, and the earlier snowmelt due to the continuous decrease of snow depth may increase the frequency of droughts and floods. Our findings support the enhancement of EDW on the TP, depletion of solid reservoirs, and intensification of the regional water crisis in a warmer future.