Abstract

This paper investigates the relationship between market structure and performance in China's banking system over the period 1985-2002. Using panel data and employing a random effects estimating procedure, both the market-power and efficient-structure hypotheses are tested. In addition, the model is extended to consider issues such as the impact of bank size/ownership effect and whether the big four banks enjoy a life. The results suggest the strategy of gradual reform affected the structure of China's banking market, but new policies should be directed at increasing the market share of the most efficient banks. No evidence was found to support the quiet life hypothesis, probably because strict interest rate controls prevented the state banks from earning monopoly profits. Thus the ongoing liberalization of interest rates should be accompanied by policies to reduce concentration.

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