China’s Largest City-Wide Lockdown: How Extensively Did Shanghai COVID-19 Affect Intensity of Human Activities in the Yangtze River Delta?

Abstract

COVID-19 has been the most widespread and far-reaching public health emergency since the beginning of the 21st century. The Chinese COVID-19 lockdown has been the most comprehensive and strict in the world. Based on the Shanghai COVID-19 outbreak in 2022, we analyzed the heterogeneous impact of the COVID-19 lockdown on human activities and urban economy using monthly nighttime light data. We found that the impact of lockdown on human activities in the Yangtze River Delta is very obvious. The number of counties in Shanghai, Jiangsu, Zhejiang and Anhui showing a downward trend of MNLR (Mean of Nighttime Light Radiation) is 100%, 97%, 99% and 85%, respectively. Before the outbreak of COVID-19, the proportion of counties with a downward trend of MNLR was 19%, 67%, 22% and 33%, respectively. Although the MNLR of some counties also decreased in 2019, the scope and intensity was far less than 2022. Under regular containment (2020 and 2021), MNLR in the Yangtze River Delta also showed a significant increase (MNLR change > 0). According to NLRI (Nighttime Light Radiation Influence), the Shanghai lockdown has significantly affected the surrounding provinces (Average NLRI < 0). Jiangsu is the most affected province other than Shanghai. At the same time, Chengdu-Chongqing, Guangdong–Hong Kong–Macao and the Triangle of Central China have no obvious linkage effect.