Abstract

Objective: Low self-control has been linked with smoking, yet it remains unclear whether childhood self-control underlies the emergence of lifetime smoking patterns. We examined the contribution of childhood self-control to early smoking initiation and smoking across adulthood. Methods: 21,132 participants were drawn from 2 nationally representative cohort studies; the 1970 British Cohort Study (BCS) and the 1958 National Child Development Study (NCDS). Child self-control was teacher-rated at age 10 in the BCS and at ages 7 and 11 in the NCDS. Participants reported their smoking status and number of cigarettes smoked per day at 5 time-points in the BCS (ages 26–42) and 6 time-points in the NCDS (ages 23–55). Both studies controlled for socioeconomic background, cognitive ability, psychological distress, gender, and parental smoking; the NCDS also controlled for an extended set of background characteristics. Results: Early self-control made a substantial graded contribution to (not) smoking throughout life. In adjusted regression models, a 1-SD increase in self-control predicted a 6.9 percentage point lower probability of smoking in the BCS, and this was replicated in the NCDS (5.2 point reduced risk). Adolescent smoking explained over half of the association between self-control and adult smoking. Childhood self-control was positively related to smoking cessation and negatively related to smoking initiation, relapse to smoking, and the number of cigarettes smoked in adulthood. Conclusions: This study provides strong evidence that low childhood self-control predicts an increased risk of smoking throughout adulthood and points to adolescent smoking as a key pathway through which this may occur.

Highlights

  • In order to test whether adolescent smoking mediated the relationship between childhood self-control and adult smoking behavior, we examined the number of cigarettes smoked per week at age 16 in both cohorts

  • Self-control correlated negatively with smoking (BCS: r ϭ Ϫ.19; National Child Development Study (NCDS): r ϭ Ϫ.20) and with the number of cigarettes consumed by smokers per day (r ϭ Ϫ.13 in both studies)

  • Children who lack self-control in the classroom tend to take up smoking in adolescence at higher rates than other children and continue to have an elevated risk of smoking for many decades

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Summary

Methods

Model 1 : Smoking status (smoker ⁄ ex-smoker ⁄ never smoker)it ϭ ␤0i ϩ ␤1 self-controli ϩ ␤2 sexi ϩ ␤3 cognitive abilityi ϩ ␤4 psychological distressi ϩ ␤5 parental smokingi ϩ ␤6 social classi ϩ ␤7 aget ϩ ␤8 extended controlsi (NCDS only) ϩ εit. Model 2 : Cigarettes smoked per dayit ϭ ␤0i ϩ ␤1 self-controli ϩ ␤2 sexi ϩ ␤3 cognitive abilityi ϩ ␤4 psychological distressi ϩ ␤5 parental smokingi ϩ ␤6 social classi ϩ ␤7 aget ϩ ␤8 extended controlsi (NCDS only) ϩ εit. In the current study khb performs the necessary decomposition to allow the indirect pathway from self-control through an ordinal mediator (adolescent smoking) to a categorical outcome (smoker/ex-/never adult smoker) to be estimated

Results
Discussion
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