Characterization of Tumor Mutation Burden-Based Gene Signature and Molecular Subtypes to Assist Precision Treatment in Gastric Cancer.

Abstract

Objective Tumor mutation burden (TMB) represents a useful biomarker for predicting survival outcomes and immunotherapy response. Here, we aimed to conduct TMB-based gene signature and molecular subtypes in gastric cancer. Methods Based on differentially expressed genes (DEGs) between high- and low-TMB groups in TCGA, a LASSO model was developed for predicting overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS). The predictive performance was externally verified in the GSE84437 dataset. Molecular subtypes were conducted via consensus clustering approach based on TMB-related DEGs. The immune microenvironment was estimated by ESTIMATE and ssGSEA algorithms. Results High-TMB patients had prolonged survival duration. TMB-related DEGs were distinctly enriched in cancer- (MAPK, P53, PI3K-Akt, and Wnt pathways) and immune-related pathways (T cell selection and differentiation). The TMB-based gene model was developed (including MATN3, UPK1B, GPX3, and RGS2), and high-risk score was predictive of poor prognosis and recurrence. ROC and multivariate analyses revealed the well predictive performance, which was confirmed in the external cohort. Furthermore, we established the nomogram containing the risk score, age, and stage for personalized prediction of OS and DFS. High-risk score was characterized by high stromal score, increased immune checkpoints, immune cell infiltrations, and enhanced sensitivity to gefitinib, vinorelbine, and gemcitabine. Three TMB-based molecular subtypes were conducted, characterized by distinct prognosis, immune microenvironment, and drug sensitivity. Conclusion Collectively, we established a prognostic signature and three distinct molecular subtypes based on TMB features for gastric cancer, which might be beneficial for prognostic prediction and clinical decision-making.