Abstract
Predictive microbiology aims to evaluate the effect of processing, distribution, and storage operations on microbiological food safety. It is based upon the premise that the response of population of microorganisms to environmental factors are reproducible, and that, by characterizing the environment in terms of identifiable, dominant factors controlling growth responses, it is possible, from past observations, to predict the responses of those microorganisms in other, similar environments. Predictive microbiology models represent the microbial responses to the environment. They are based mainly on observations made in synthetic culture media. Models cannot take into account all factors that may affect the microbial growth but select the most influential factors and only model their effects.
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