Change in area of Ebinur Lake during the 1998–2005 period

Abstract

Ebinur Lake is located in a typical arid region in the north‐west of China. It is an area with the lowest elevation in the Junggar Basin in the Province of Xinjiang. Recent monitoring indicates that the lake surface area has increased. To obtain a continuous record of the change in lake area, a radiometric analysis of SPOT/VEGETATION (VGT) imagery was carried out based on methodology developed for regional lake area mapping. Two indices, the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) and the Normalized Difference Water Index (NDWI), were selected to identify the water body of Ebinur Lake. The indices are calculated based on the spectral reflectances in the red and near infrared bands of VGT sensor. If the NDVI is less than a critical value (0) and if the NDWI is larger than a critical value (0), the pixel is flagged as a water body. Validation indicates that the methodology to identify water bodies based on multi‐spectral VGT data is applicable in our study area achieving an overall accuracy of 91.4%. Independent monitoring results elicit that the lake surface area was at its lowest in 1998. The yearly average surface area is about 503 km2. The lake area increased to 603 km2 during 1999. In the period 1999–2001 the area changes are marginal. A large area increase occurred from 2001 to 2002 till the lake area reached a surface area of 791 km2. The lake area peaks to 903 km2 in 2003 and subsequently decreased to areas of 847 km2 in 2004 and 746 km2 in 2005. Similar area change dynamics are observed when applying the remote sensing based technique. Seasonally, the typical dynamics elicit a larger surface area in spring and winter and a smaller one during summer.