Abstract

Most computational methods for predicting driver mutations have been trained using positive samples, while negative samples are typically derived from statistical methods or putative samples. The representativeness of these negative samples in capturing the diversity of passenger mutations remains to be determined. To tackle these issues, we curated a balanced dataset comprising driver mutations sourced from the COSMIC database and high-quality passenger mutations obtained from the Cancer Passenger Mutation database. Subsequently, we encoded the distinctive features of these mutations. Utilizing feature correlation analysis, we developed a cancer driver missense mutation predictor called CDMPred employing feature selection through the ensemble learning technique XGBoost. The proposed CDMPred method, utilizing the top 10 features and XGBoost, achieved an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) value of 0.83 and 0.80 on the training and independent test sets, respectively. Furthermore, CDMPred demonstrated superior performance compared to existing state-of-the-art methods for cancer-specific and general diseases, as measured by AUC and area under the precision-recall curve. Including high-quality passenger mutations in the training data proves advantageous for CDMPred's prediction performance. We anticipate that CDMPred will be a valuable tool for predicting cancer driver mutations, furthering our understanding of personalized therapy.

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