Abstract
During the first six months of 1974, California experienced a significant reduction in traffic fatalities compared to the same period of 1973. There are numerous reasons that account for the reduction. Some can be identified and some cannot. A major factor of course is the serious fuel shortage that occurred during the period. Six months data now have become available, and it is possible to analyse the reasons underlying the reduction. This paper focuses on two questions. First, what impact did each of the various factors have; and second, what is the economic value associated with the reduction in fatalities.
Highlights
During the first six months of 1974, California experienced a significant reduc tion in traffic fatalities compared to the same period of 1973
According to studies done by the California Highway Patrol, the number of fatalities has been determined by two major factors.^ The first is the risk in driving as measured by fatalities per 100 million vehicle miles
Total actual state wide mileage can be obtained by multiplying mvg by the miles-per-gallon indices compiled by the California Highway Patrol and which appear in column (4)
Summary
According to studies done by the California Highway Patrol, the number of fatalities has been determined by two major factors.^ The first is the risk in driving as measured by fatalities per 100 million vehicle miles. Total actual state wide mileage can be obtained by multiplying mvg by the miles-per-gallon indices compiled by the California Highway Patrol and which appear in column (4). The fatality rate per 100 million vehicle miles is the ratio of the total number of fatalities, column (2), to statewide mileage. The expected number of fatalities for the first half of 1974 can be found by multiplying the expected statewide vehicle miles by the expected fatality rate. The former has not been calculated here. The actual n imber is 1737, which is 27% below the expectation
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