Cardiovascular Disease Burden in Rural Central Asia: A Systematic Review of Epidemiological Trends and Mortality Patterns

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Background/Objectives: Cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) remain a leading cause of mortality worldwide, with a particularly high burden in Central Asian countries. Despite ongoing urbanization, rural populations constitute a significant demographic in this region, yet epidemiological data stratified by urban and rural residence are limited and fragmented. This systematic review aimed to synthesize current evidence on the incidence, prevalence, mortality, and risk factor profiles of CVDs among urban and rural populations in Central Asia, identify disparities, and inform targeted prevention and control strategies. Methods: A systematic literature search was conducted across the PubMed, Science Direct, Web of Science, and Google Scholar databases for studies published between 2015 and 2025. Included studies reported cardiovascular health indicators with urban–rural stratification in Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Uzbekistan, Tajikistan, and Turkmenistan. Data extraction and qualitative synthesis were performed, with methodological quality assessed using the Newcastle–Ottawa Scale. Results: Eight original studies met the inclusion criteria, encompassing national and regional datasets with diverse designs, including retrospective analyses, cross-sectional surveys, and registry data. Overall, CVD incidence and prevalence showed increasing trends in both urban and rural areas, with consistently higher mortality rates in urban populations. Key modifiable risk factors—hypertension, obesity, dyslipidemia, and smoking—were prevalent, particularly in rural settings. Variability in healthcare access and preventive program implementation contributed to the observed disparities. Limited data from some countries, particularly Tajikistan and Turkmenistan, highlight gaps in epidemiological surveillance. Conclusions: The cardiovascular disease burden in Central Asia demonstrates significant urban–rural disparities, underscoring the need for tailored public health interventions and enhanced healthcare resource allocation in rural regions. Strengthening epidemiological monitoring and implementing region-specific prevention programs targeting modifiable risk factors are imperative for reducing CVD morbidity and mortality. Further high-quality research is necessary to address existing data gaps and optimize cardiovascular health strategies across the region.

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Evidence on lead and the burden of cardiovascular disease (CVD) derived from National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) data, a general sample of the U.S. population, lacks sufficient representation of American Indians. Moreover, there is limited prospective evidence on lead and incident CVD outcomes. We evaluated if blood lead levels were associated with CVD mortality and incidence in American Indian adults from the Strong Heart Study (SHS). Whole blood samples collected in 1998-1999 among 1,818 participants was analyzed for lead using inductively coupled plasma mass spectrometry. CVD incidence and mortality were available through 2019. We used progressively adjusted multivariable Cox proportional hazards models to estimate the risk of composite CVD and coronary heart disease (CHD) mortality and incidence by baseline blood lead levels. The median (p20, p80) blood lead was 22.5 (14.2, 37.3) µg/L, similar to that of a representative sample of US adults in NHANES 1999-2000. During follow-up, 578 (31.8%) participants had a composite CVD event and 454 (25.0%) participants had a CHD event. After adjustment for demographic, lifestyle, and cardiovascular risk factors, the hazard ratio (95% CI) per change across the 80th to 20th quantiles in blood lead was 1.15 (1.02-1.30) and 1.22 (1.08- 1.37) for CVD and CHD mortality, respectively, and 1.13 (1.02-1.24) and 1.12 (0.99-1.25) for CVD and CHD incidence, respectively. In flexible dose-response models, the associations appeared to be non-linear, with a clear increased risk of CVD and CHD mortality at blood lead concentrations above 35 µg/L. Blood lead levels in American Indian adults, which are comparable to populations in the U.S. and globally, were associated with increased risk of CVD and CHD incidence and mortality. These findings highlight the importance of further reducing lead exposure, including American Indian communities. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP16309.

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