Abstract

This paper examines the explanatory power of the “time-to-build” propagation mechanism when the mechanism is modified to take into account capital complementarity. Since, in order to come “on line”, completed structures require equipment and large structures may require smaller complementary structures, the persistence of investment “starts” may be explainable in terms of such complemenrity. The hypothesis is made operational using finely-detailed U.S. Commerce department survey data. Results are consistent with the hypothesis that an important cause of “starts” persistence is the complementary relationship existing between various “orders” of capital.

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