Burden of aortic aneurysm in China from 1990 to 2021: A comparative analysis with G20 countries based on the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021.

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Burden of aortic aneurysm in China from 1990 to 2021: A comparative analysis with G20 countries based on the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021.

ReferencesShowing 10 of 52 papers
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Report on cardiovascular health and diseases in China 2021: an updated summary.
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The role of vascular smooth muscle cells in the development of aortic aneurysms and dissections
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Global Burden of Aortic Aneurysm and Attributable Risk Factors from 1990 to 2017.
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Global burden and strength of evidence for 88 risk factors in 204 countries and 811 subnational locations, 1990–2021: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021
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Risk Factors for Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm in Population-Based Studies: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.
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  • Research Article
  • 10.1097/ms9.0000000000003358
Burden of aortic aneurysm from 1990 to 2021: a systematic analysis from the Global Burden of Disease study 2021
  • May 12, 2025
  • Annals of Medicine & Surgery
  • Jin Qu + 10 more

Background: Aortic aneurysm (AA) is a life-threatening arterial disease. It is imperative to understand the epidemiology of AA and implement effective interventions. Methods: Publicly available data on deaths and years of life lost (YLLs) from AA between 1990 and 2021 were retrieved from the Global Burden of Disease study 2021. Counts and rates for deaths and YLLs were presented, along with their corresponding 95% uncertainty intervals. Estimated annual percentage changes were calculated to reflect the temporal trends in the burden of AA. A Bayesian age-period-cohort model was used to generate projections to 2050. Results: The global numbers of deaths and YLLs due to AA have increased from 1990 to 2021. In 2021, 153 927 deaths and 3 107 762 YLLs were attributed to AA. In contrast, the global age-standardized rates (ASRs) of AA-related deaths and YLLs have decreased from 1990 to 2021, with rates of 1.86 and 36.54 per 100 000 population in 2021, respectively. The decline in ASRs of deaths and YLLs was projected to continue until 2050. The burden of AA decreased from 1990 to 2021 in regions and countries with a high socio-demographic index but increased in less developed regions and countries. In 2021, male gender, smoking, and high systolic blood pressure were the primary risk factors contributing to AA. Conclusions: AA remains a major public health concern, especially among the elderly, smokers, and men in less developed countries. Smoking cessation and hypertension control appear to be effective in reducing the burden of AA.

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  • Cite Count Icon 7
  • 10.1186/s12889-022-13221-w
The burden of aortic aneurysm in China from 1990 to 2019: findings from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019
  • Apr 18, 2022
  • BMC Public Health
  • Xinran Hou + 10 more

BackgroundAortic aneurysm (AA) is a global public health concern. However, little is known about the disease burden of AA in China.MethodsFollowing the general analytic strategy used in the Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) 2019, we analyzed the mortality and years of life lost (YLLs) due to AA, stratified by sex, age, and province-level region in China from 1990 to 2019. The temporal trend of AA burden in China was analyzed and the main attributable risk factors for AA in China were also explored.ResultsIn China, the total AA deaths were 17,038 (95% UI: 14,392-19,980) in 2019, an increase of 136.1% compared with that in 1990, with an age-standardized death rate (ASDR) of 0.93 (95% UI: 0.79-1.08) per 100,000 person-years in 2019, a decrease of 6.8%. Meanwhile AA caused 378,578 (95% UI: 315,980-450,479) YLLs in 2019, an increase of 102.6% compared with that in 1990, with a crude YLL rate of 26.6 (95% UI: 22.2-31.7) per 100,000 person-years, an increase of 68.6%. The AA mortality and YLLs were higher in males than in females. AA caused most YLLs in the 65- to 75-year-old age group. The AA mortality and YLLs varied significantly among provinces in China, and the change in ASDR showed a negative correlation with the sociodemographic index of different provinces, namely, more decline of ASDR in developed provinces. High systolic blood pressure was shown to be the most significant attributable risk factor for AA burden in both males and females, and smoking was another major attributable risk factor, especially in males.ConclusionsThe disease burden of AA increased significantly from 1990 to 2019 in China, with higher mortality and YLLs in males, senior populations, and among residents of most western provinces in China. High systolic blood pressure and smoking were two major attributable risk factors for AA mortality in China.

  • Research Article
  • Cite Count Icon 4161
  • 10.1016/s0140-6736(17)32152-9
Global, regional, and national age-sex specific mortality for 264 causes of death, 1980–2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016
  • Sep 14, 2017
  • Lancet (London, England)
  • Mark Strong + 99 more

Global, regional, and national age-sex specific mortality for 264 causes of death, 1980–2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016

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  • Cite Count Icon 18
  • 10.1016/s2468-1253(24)00157-2
Trends and levels of the global, regional, and national burden of appendicitis between 1990 and 2021: findings from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021
  • Jul 17, 2024
  • The Lancet Gastroenterology & Hepatology
  • Yohannes Habtegiorgis Abate + 99 more

Appendicitis is a common surgical emergency that poses a large clinical and economic burden. Understanding the global burden of appendicitis is crucial for evaluating unmet needs and implementing and scaling up intervention services to reduce adverse health outcomes. This study aims to provide a comprehensive assessment of the global, regional, and national burden of appendicitis, by age and sex, from 1990 to 2021. Vital registration and verbal autopsy data, the Cause of Death Ensemble model (CODEm), and demographic estimates from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) were used to estimate cause-specific mortality rates (CSMRs) for appendicitis. Incidence data were extracted from insurance claims and inpatient discharge sources and analysed with disease modelling meta-regression, version 2.1 (DisMod-MR 2.1). Years of life lost (YLLs) were estimated by combining death counts with standard life expectancy at the age of death. Years lived with disability (YLDs) were estimated by multiplying incidence estimates by an average disease duration of 2 weeks and a disability weight for abdominal pain. YLLs and YLDs were summed to estimate disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs). In 2021, the global age-standardised mortality rate of appendicitis was 0·358 (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 0·311-0·414) per 100 000. Mortality rates ranged from 1·01 (0·895-1·13) per 100 000 in central Latin America to 0·054 (0·0464-0·0617) per 100 000 in high-income Asia Pacific. The global age-standardised incidence rate of appendicitis in 2021 was 214 (174-274) per 100 000, corresponding to 17 million (13·8-21·6) new cases. The incidence rate was the highest in high-income Asia Pacific, at 364 (286-475) per 100 000 and the lowest in western sub-Saharan Africa, at 81·4 (63·9-109) per 100 000. The global age-standardised rates of mortality, incidence, YLLs, YLDs, and DALYs due to appendicitis decreased steadily between 1990 and 2021, with the largest reduction in mortality and YLL rates. The global annualised rate of decline in the DALY rate was greatest in children younger than the age of 10 years. Although mortality rates due to appendicitis decreased in all regions, there were large regional variations in the temporal trend in incidence. Although the global age-standardised incidence rate of appendicitis has steadily decreased between 1990 and 2021, almost half of GBD regions saw an increase of greater than 10% in their age-standardised incidence rates. Slow but promising progress has been observed in reducing the overall burden of appendicitis in all regions. However, there are important geographical variations in appendicitis incidence and mortality, and the relationship between these measures suggests that many people still do not have access to quality health care. As the incidence of appendicitis is rising in many parts of the world, countries should prepare their health-care infrastructure for timely, high-quality diagnosis and treatment. Given the risk that improved diagnosis may counterintuitively drive apparent rising trends in incidence, these efforts should be coupled with improved data collection, which will also be crucial for understanding trends and developing targeted interventions. Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation.

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  • Cite Count Icon 101
  • 10.1186/s12882-021-02597-3
Burden of chronic kidney disease and its risk-attributable burden in 137 low-and middle-income countries, 1990\u20132019: results from the global burden of disease study 2019
  • Jan 5, 2022
  • BMC Nephrology
  • Changrong Ke + 4 more

BackgroundChronic kidney disease (CKD) is a global public health concern, but its disease burden and risk-attributable burden in CKD has been poorly studied in low - and middle-income countries (LMICs). This study aimed to estimate CKD burden and risk-attributable burden in LMICs from 1990 to 2019.MethodsData were collected from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) Study 2019, which measure CKD burden using the years lived with disability (YLDs), years of life lost (YLLs), disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) and calculate percentage contributions of risk factors to age-standardized CKD DALY using population attributable fraction (PAF) from 1990 to 2019. Trends of disease burden between 1990 and 2019 were evaluated using average annual percent change (AAPC). The 95% uncertainty interval (UI) were calculated and reported for YLDs, YLLs, DALYs and PAF.ResultsIn 2019, LICs had the highest age-standardized DALY rate at 692.25 per 100,000 people (95%UI: 605.14 to 785.67), followed by Lower MICs (684.72% (95%UI: 623.56 to 746.12)), Upper MICs (447.55% (95%UI: 405.38 to 493.01)). The age-standardized YLL rate was much higher than the YLD rate in various income regions. From 1990 to 2019, the age-standardized DALY rate showed a 13.70% reduction in LICs (AAPC = -0.5, 95%UI: − 0.6 to − 0.5, P < 0.001), 3.72% increment in Lower MICs (AAPC = 0.2, 95%UI: 0.0 to 0.3, P < 0.05). Age-standardized YLD rate was higher in females than in males, whereas age-standardized rates of YLL and DALY of CKD were all higher in males than in females in globally and LMICs. Additionally, the YLD, YLL and DALY rates of CKD increased with age, which were higher in aged≥70 years in various income regions. In 2019, high systolic blood pressure, high fasting plasma glucose, and high body-mass index remained the major causes attributable age-standardized CKD DALY. From 1990 to 2019, there were upward trends in the PAF of age-standardized DALY contributions of high fasting plasma glucose, high systolic blood pressure, and high body-mass index in Global, LICs, Lower MICs and Upper MICs. The greatest increase in the PAF was high body-mass index, especially in Lower MICs (AAPC = 2.7, 95%UI: 2.7 to 2.8, P < 0.001). The PAF of age-standardized DALY for high systolic blood pressure increased the most in Upper MICs (AAPC = 0.6, 95%UI: 0.6 to 0.7, P < 0.001).ConclusionsCKD burden remains high in various income regions, especially in LICs and Lower MICs. More effective and targeted preventive policies and interventions aimed at mitigating preventable CKD burden and addressing risk factors are urgently needed, particularly in geographies with high or increasing burden.

  • Research Article
  • 10.1007/s10072-025-08465-4
G20 stroke burden 1990-2035: trends, projections and precision health insights.
  • Sep 8, 2025
  • Neurological sciences : official journal of the Italian Neurological Society and of the Italian Society of Clinical Neurophysiology
  • Rongrong Chen + 6 more

Stroke persists as the second leading global cause of mortality and disability. We analyzed G20 nations using Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2021 data (1990-2021) to provide a new perspective. We obtained age-standardized rates (ASR) of stroke mortality, incidence, prevalence, and YLLs (years of life lost) across G20 nations. Attributable risks identified key factors, decomposition analysis explored epidemiological drivers, and inequality analysis assessed socioeconomic disparities. Bayesian age-period-cohort (BAPC) modeling projected trends to 2035. In 2021, stroke was the second leading cause of level 3 mortality in the G20 countries, accounting for 11.83% (95% UI:10.75-12.59) of total deaths, and the leading cause of level 3 mortality in China and Indonesia. In 2021, stroke caused 5.27million (4.67-5.78) deaths in the G20 countries, with 8.74million (7.80-9.77) new cases and 67.82million (63.67-72.51) prevalent cases, the years of life lost (YLLs) totaled 100.63million (91.46-110.31). China had the highest absolute burden; Indonesia showed the highest ASMR (Age-standardized mortality rates), ASIR (Age-standardized incidence rates), ASPR (age-standardized prevalence rates), and ASYR (age-standardized years of life lost), South Korea had the steepest ASR declines. High systolic blood pressure and air pollution were primary risk factors. Projections reveal Indonesia's rapid ASR declines contrasting with China's rising prevalence among adults ≥ 75 years and growing case numbers in aging populations. While stroke ASR decreased significantly since 1990, substantial cross-country disparities persist, linked to socioeconomic development. Absolute burden will increase with aging populations, necessitating targeted interventions against hypertension, air pollution, and elderly healthcare gaps.

  • Research Article
  • Cite Count Icon 63
  • 10.1136/bmjgh-2020-004128
Global, regional and national burden of bladder cancer and its attributable risk factors in 204 countries and territories, 1990–2019: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease study 2019
  • Nov 1, 2021
  • BMJ Global Health
  • Saeid Safiri + 2 more

IntroductionThe current study determined the level and trends associated with the incidence, death and disability rates for bladder cancer and its attributable risk factors in 204 countries and territories, from...

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  • Cite Count Icon 19
  • 10.1186/s12872-020-01530-0
Temporal and spatial trends of ischemic heart disease burden in Chinese and subgroup populations from 1990 to 2016: socio-economical data from the 2016 global burden of disease study
  • May 24, 2020
  • BMC Cardiovascular Disorders
  • Chenran Wang + 4 more

BackgroundIschemic heart disease (IHD) is the leading cause of premature death which poses public health challenges worldwide. Previous studies focused on the overall population in China. However, variations in temporal and spatial patterns across subgroups remain unknown. This study was to analyze how the IHD burden among Chinese and subgroup populations changes in response to temporal and spatial trends from 1990 to 2016.MethodsBased on data from the updated estimate in the 2016 Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study, we used years lived with disability (YLDs), years of life lost (YLLs), and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) to describe the IHD burden. The percentage and annual average percentage changes were applied to illustrate temporal and spatial variations of the IHD burden stratified by age, sex, and province, over the periods 1990–2016, 1990–2005, and 2005–2016. We estimate population-attributable fraction (PAF) for 24 modifiable risk factors at the provincial level in 2016.ResultsYLD rates, YLL rates, and DALY rates for IHD underwent a notable increase among all age groups and increased by 119.4, 83.3, and 84.5% nationally from 1990 to 2016. In YLD rates, a greater increase was seen in females (124.4%) compared to males (114.0%), while males experienced a more substantial increase than that in females in YLL rates (99.3% vs. 60.5%) and DALY rates (99.7% vs. 63.2%) from 1990 to 2016. Compared with 1990–2005, annual average changes in the overall population in YLL rates (3.5% vs. 1.8%) and DALY rates (3.5% vs. 1.9%) showed a tardier increase whereas an opposite increasing trend of YLD rates (3.5% vs. 4.0%) was observed between 2005 and 2016. Geographically, all provinces saw declines in the YLLs/YLDs ratio from 2005 to 2016, with seventeen of thirty-three provinces showing an upward trend between 1990 and 2005. Most provinces witnessed a remarkable upsurge in the age-standardised DALY rate from 1990 to 2016 whereas the economically advantaged region Macao (52.2%) saw the most marked reduction. High systolic blood pressure and high LDL cholesterol remained the two leading risk factors of IHD in all provinces in 2016. Diet high in sodium was the leading behavioral risks in twenty-eight provinces with smoking heading the list in five provinces.ConclusionsChina has made significant achievements in preventing premature death from IHD along with the increased risk of disability. Substantial disparities in temporal and spatial trends of the IHD burden emphasize concerns for elderly men and those in economically disadvantaged regions with resource constraints. Regional differences in the IHD burden can be partly explained by modifiable risk factors. By having identified these disparities, targeted IHD prevention and control strategies will help to bridge these gaps.

  • Research Article
  • Cite Count Icon 6397
  • 10.1016/s0140-6736(18)32203-7
Global, regional, and national age-sex-specific mortality for 282 causes of death in 195 countries and territories, 1980–2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017
  • Nov 1, 2018
  • The Lancet
  • Dillon O Sylte + 99 more

SummaryBackgroundGlobal development goals increasingly rely on country-specific estimates for benchmarking a nation's progress. To meet this need, the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2016 estimated global, regional, national, and, for selected locations, subnational cause-specific mortality beginning in the year 1980. Here we report an update to that study, making use of newly available data and improved methods. GBD 2017 provides a comprehensive assessment of cause-specific mortality for 282 causes in 195 countries and territories from 1980 to 2017.MethodsThe causes of death database is composed of vital registration (VR), verbal autopsy (VA), registry, survey, police, and surveillance data. GBD 2017 added ten VA studies, 127 country-years of VR data, 502 cancer-registry country-years, and an additional surveillance country-year. Expansions of the GBD cause of death hierarchy resulted in 18 additional causes estimated for GBD 2017. Newly available data led to subnational estimates for five additional countries—Ethiopia, Iran, New Zealand, Norway, and Russia. Deaths assigned International Classification of Diseases (ICD) codes for non-specific, implausible, or intermediate causes of death were reassigned to underlying causes by redistribution algorithms that were incorporated into uncertainty estimation. We used statistical modelling tools developed for GBD, including the Cause of Death Ensemble model (CODEm), to generate cause fractions and cause-specific death rates for each location, year, age, and sex. Instead of using UN estimates as in previous versions, GBD 2017 independently estimated population size and fertility rate for all locations. Years of life lost (YLLs) were then calculated as the sum of each death multiplied by the standard life expectancy at each age. All rates reported here are age-standardised.FindingsAt the broadest grouping of causes of death (Level 1), non-communicable diseases (NCDs) comprised the greatest fraction of deaths, contributing to 73·4% (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 72·5–74·1) of total deaths in 2017, while communicable, maternal, neonatal, and nutritional (CMNN) causes accounted for 18·6% (17·9–19·6), and injuries 8·0% (7·7–8·2). Total numbers of deaths from NCD causes increased from 2007 to 2017 by 22·7% (21·5–23·9), representing an additional 7·61 million (7·20–8·01) deaths estimated in 2017 versus 2007. The death rate from NCDs decreased globally by 7·9% (7·0–8·8). The number of deaths for CMNN causes decreased by 22·2% (20·0–24·0) and the death rate by 31·8% (30·1–33·3). Total deaths from injuries increased by 2·3% (0·5–4·0) between 2007 and 2017, and the death rate from injuries decreased by 13·7% (12·2–15·1) to 57·9 deaths (55·9–59·2) per 100 000 in 2017. Deaths from substance use disorders also increased, rising from 284 000 deaths (268 000–289 000) globally in 2007 to 352 000 (334 000–363 000) in 2017. Between 2007 and 2017, total deaths from conflict and terrorism increased by 118·0% (88·8–148·6). A greater reduction in total deaths and death rates was observed for some CMNN causes among children younger than 5 years than for older adults, such as a 36·4% (32·2–40·6) reduction in deaths from lower respiratory infections for children younger than 5 years compared with a 33·6% (31·2–36·1) increase in adults older than 70 years. Globally, the number of deaths was greater for men than for women at most ages in 2017, except at ages older than 85 years. Trends in global YLLs reflect an epidemiological transition, with decreases in total YLLs from enteric infections, respiratory infections and tuberculosis, and maternal and neonatal disorders between 1990 and 2017; these were generally greater in magnitude at the lowest levels of the Socio-demographic Index (SDI). At the same time, there were large increases in YLLs from neoplasms and cardiovascular diseases. YLL rates decreased across the five leading Level 2 causes in all SDI quintiles. The leading causes of YLLs in 1990—neonatal disorders, lower respiratory infections, and diarrhoeal diseases—were ranked second, fourth, and fifth, in 2017. Meanwhile, estimated YLLs increased for ischaemic heart disease (ranked first in 2017) and stroke (ranked third), even though YLL rates decreased. Population growth contributed to increased total deaths across the 20 leading Level 2 causes of mortality between 2007 and 2017. Decreases in the cause-specific mortality rate reduced the effect of population growth for all but three causes: substance use disorders, neurological disorders, and skin and subcutaneous diseases.InterpretationImprovements in global health have been unevenly distributed among populations. Deaths due to injuries, substance use disorders, armed conflict and terrorism, neoplasms, and cardiovascular disease are expanding threats to global health. For causes of death such as lower respiratory and enteric infections, more rapid progress occurred for children than for the oldest adults, and there is continuing disparity in mortality rates by sex across age groups. Reductions in the death rate of some common diseases are themselves slowing or have ceased, primarily for NCDs, and the death rate for selected causes has increased in the past decade.FundingBill & Melinda Gates Foundation.

  • Research Article
  • Cite Count Icon 142
  • 10.1016/s0140-6736(16)31773-1
Dissonant health transition in the states of Mexico, 1990–2013: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013
  • Oct 5, 2016
  • The Lancet
  • Héctor Gómez–Dantés + 61 more

Dissonant health transition in the states of Mexico, 1990–2013: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013

  • Research Article
  • Cite Count Icon 245
  • 10.1016/s2665-9913(23)00211-4
Global, regional, and national burden of rheumatoid arthritis, 1990–2020, and projections to 2050: a systematic analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021
  • Sep 25, 2023
  • The Lancet. Rheumatology
  • Paul Narh Doku + 99 more

SummaryBackgroundRheumatoid arthritis is a chronic autoimmune inflammatory disease associated with disability and premature death. Up-to-date estimates of the burden of rheumatoid arthritis are required for health-care planning, resource allocation, and prevention. As part of the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2021, we provide updated estimates of the prevalence of rheumatoid arthritis and its associated deaths and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) by age, sex, year, and location, with forecasted prevalence to 2050.MethodsRheumatoid arthritis prevalence was estimated in 204 countries and territories from 1990 to 2020 using Bayesian meta-regression models and data from population-based studies and medical claims data (98 prevalence and 25 incidence studies). Mortality was estimated from vital registration data with the Cause of Death Ensemble model (CODEm). Years of life lost (YLL) were calculated with use of standard GBD lifetables, and years lived with disability (YLDs) were estimated from prevalence, a meta-analysed distribution of rheumatoid arthritis severity, and disability weights. DALYs were calculated by summing YLLs and YLDs. Smoking was the only risk factor analysed. Rheumatoid arthritis prevalence was forecast to 2050 by logistic regression with Socio-Demographic Index as a predictor, then multiplying by projected population estimates.FindingsIn 2020, an estimated 17·6 million (95% uncertainty interval 15·8–20·3) people had rheumatoid arthritis worldwide. The age-standardised global prevalence rate was 208·8 cases (186·8–241·1) per 100 000 population, representing a 14·1% (12·7–15·4) increase since 1990. Prevalence was higher in females (age-standardised female-to-male prevalence ratio 2·45 [2·40–2·47]). The age-standardised death rate was 0·47 (0·41–0·54) per 100 000 population (38 300 global deaths [33 500–44 000]), a 23·8% (17·5–29·3) decrease from 1990 to 2020. The 2020 DALY count was 3 060 000 (2 320 000–3 860 000), with an age-standardised DALY rate of 36·4 (27·6–45·9) per 100 000 population. YLDs accounted for 76·4% (68·3–81·0) of DALYs. Smoking risk attribution for rheumatoid arthritis DALYs was 7·1% (3·6–10·3). We forecast that 31·7 million (25·8–39·0) individuals will be living with rheumatoid arthritis worldwide by 2050.InterpretationRheumatoid arthritis mortality has decreased globally over the past three decades. Global age-standardised prevalence rate and YLDs have increased over the same period, and the number of cases is projected to continue to increase to the year 2050. Improved access to early diagnosis and treatment of rheumatoid arthritis globally is required to reduce the future burden of the disease.FundingBill & Melinda Gates Foundation, Institute of Bone and Joint Research, and Global Alliance for Musculoskeletal Health.

  • Research Article
  • 10.18332/tid/207127
An analysis of the global, regional, and national epidemiology and trends of Alzheimer's disease and other dementias linked to smoking from 1990 to 2021 and projections to 2050.
  • Jul 29, 2025
  • Tobacco induced diseases
  • Hongdou Xu + 4 more

This research assesses the smoking-related impact on Alzheimer's disease and other dementias (ADOD), analyzing variables such as sex, age, sociodemographic index (SDI), region, and country from 1990 to 2021, with forecasts to 2050. Using data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021, we examined smoking-related ADOD trends from 1990 to 2021, focusing on deaths, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), years of life lost (YLLs), and years lived with disability (YLDs) by age, sex, SDI, location, and country. We quantified trends with estimated annual percentage changes and used decomposition analysis to evaluate the effects of population growth, aging, and epidemiological shifts. A frontier analysis identified improvement areas and disparities among countries by development status. Time series prediction models were used to predict smoking-attributable ADOD trends from 2022 to 2050, considering population profiles. Between 1990 and 2021, there was an observable upward trend in deaths, DALYs, YLLs, and YLDs. In 2021, the burden of smoking-attributable age-related diseases predominantly impacted males across all age groups. Females, however, experienced a more pronounced reduction in age-standardized rates (ASR) of deaths, DALYs, YLLs, and YLDs compared to their male counterparts. The data from 2021 reveal that ASR of deaths, DALYs, and YLLs increased with age, reaching a peak among individuals aged ≥95 years. These ASR trends were consistent across genders, although higher rates were observed in males than in females. In 2021, the high-middle SDI region recorded the highest ASR of deaths, DALYs, YLLs, and YLDs. All five SDI regions experienced declines in ASR of deaths, DALYs, YLLs, and YLDs, with the high-SDI region demonstrating the most significant reductions in the estimated annual percentage change (EAPC). Decomposition analyses suggested that population growth was the primary factor contributing to the increase in overall deaths. From 1990 to 2021, there was an increase in deaths, DALYs, YLLs, and YLDs attributable to smoking-related ADOD, with projections indicating a continued rise globally until 2050. The burden of disease is mainly caused by males and middle-aged and elderly people, which should be given sufficient attention. Understanding epidemiological factors is crucial for designing effective, tailored interventions to mitigate the global burden.

  • Research Article
  • Cite Count Icon 54
  • 10.3389/fcvm.2022.868370
Burden of Peripheral Artery Disease and Its Attributable Risk Factors in 204 Countries and Territories From 1990 to 2019
  • Apr 12, 2022
  • Frontiers in Cardiovascular Medicine
  • Jinfeng Lin + 4 more

BackgroundData on burden of peripheral artery disease (PAD) and its attributable risk factors are valuable for policymaking. We aimed to estimate the burden and risk factors for PAD from 1990 to 2019.MethodsWe extracted the data on prevalence, incidence, death, years lived with disability (YLDs), and years of life lost (YLLs) from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019 to measure PAD burden. Moreover, the attributable burden to PAD risk factors was also estimated.ResultsGlobally, in 2019, 113,443,017 people lived with PAD and 10,504,092 new cases occurred, resulting in 74,063 deaths, 500,893 YLDs, and 1,035,487 YLLs. The absolute numbers of PAD prevalent and incident cases significantly increased between 1990 and 2019, contrasting with the decline trends in age-standardized prevalence and incidence rates. However, no statistically significant changes were detected in the global age-standardized death or YLL rates. The burden of PAD and its temporal trends varied significantly by location, gender, age group, and social-demographic status. Among all potentially modifiable risk factors, age-standardized PAD deaths worldwide were primarily attributable to high fasting plasma glucose, followed by high systolic blood pressure, tobacco, kidney dysfunction, diet high in sodium, and lead exposure.ConclusionPAD remained a serious public health problem worldwide. More strategies aimed at implementing cost-effective interventions and addressing modifiable risk factors should be carried out, especially in regions with high or increasing burden.

  • Research Article
  • 10.5603/ah.a2018.0005
Deaths, disability-adjusted life years and years of life lost due to elevated systolic blood pressure in Poland: estimates for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016
  • Jun 29, 2018
  • Arterial Hypertension
  • Tomasz Miazgowski + 4 more

Introduction. High systolic blood pressure (SBP) is a well-known risk factor for major adverse cardiovascular outcomes; however, data regarding disease burden due to high SBP in the Polish population are scarce. Material and methods. We extracted and analyzed the latest country-, gender-, age- and year-specific estimates from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) Study 2016 for SBP-related mortality, years of life lost (YLLs), disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), and attributable risk factors in Poland in 2016. In the GBD 2016, the term ‘high SBP’ refers to SBP of at least 110−115 mmHg. Results. High SBP was attributable to (per 100,000) 106,043.16 deaths (95% UI [Uncertainty Interval]: 88,207–121,849) that was 27.22% of all deaths in Poland in 2016; 1,751,844.69 DALYs (95% UI: 1,525,188–1,966,25) and 1,497,959.71 YLLs (95% UI: 1,287,279–1,497,959). In males, DALYs attributable to high SBP were higher by 34% and YLLs by 23%, while in females death rates were higher by 14%. SBP was highly attributable to ischemic heart disease, stroke, and chronic kidney disease (63.7%, 63,1%, and 59.1%, respectively). In the GBD hierarchy, high SBP was the most common risk factor, followed by smoking, high body mass index (BMI), high total cholesterol levels, alcohol use, and high fasting plasma glucose levels. Conclusions. In Poland, SBP of at least 110–115 mmHg remains one of the largest risks for loss of good health; greater than smoking, high cholesterol levels, or high BMI. With the population aging globally, the burden due to high SBP is expected to increase further.

  • Research Article
  • Cite Count Icon 9
  • 10.1212/wnl.0000000000209351
Prevalence and Burden of Multiple Sclerosis in China, 1990-2019: Findings From the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019.
  • Jun 11, 2024
  • Neurology
  • Chen Zhang + 9 more

Multiple sclerosis (MS) is the leading cause of neurologic disability in young adults, but the burden caused by MS in China is lacking. We aimed to comprehensively describe the prevalence and health loss due to MS by demographic and geographical variables from 1990 to 2019 across China. Data were obtained from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2019 (GBD 2019). We used GBD methodology to systematically analyze the prevalence, disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), years of life lost (YLLs), and years lived with disability (YLDs) due to MS by age, sex, and location from 1990 to 2019 in mainland China and its provinces. We also compared the MS burden in China with the world and other Group of 20 (G20) countries. In 2019, 42,571 (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 33,001-53,329) individuals in China had MS, which doubled from 1990. The age-standardized prevalence rate of MS was 2.32 per 100,000 (95% UI 1.78-2.91), which increased by 23.31% (95% UI 20.50-25.89) from 1990, with most of the growth occurring after 2010. There was a positive latitudinal gradient with the increasing prevalence from south to north across China. The total DALYs caused by MS were 71,439 (95% UI 58,360-92,254) in 2019, ranking China third among G20 countries. Most of the MS burden in China derived from premature mortality, with the higher fraction of YLLs than that at the global level and most other G20 countries. From 1990 to 2019, the age-standardized DALY and YLL rate had nonsignificant changes; however, the age-standardized YLD rate substantially increased by 23.33% (95% UI 20.50-25.89). The geographic distribution of MS burden varied at the provincial level in China, with a slight downward trend in the age-standardized DALY rates along with increasing Socio-Demographic Index over the study period. Although China has a low risk of MS, the substantial and increasing prevalent cases should not be underestimated. The high burden due to premature death and geographic disparity of MS burden reveals insufficient management of MS in China, highlighting the needs for increased awareness and effective intervention.

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