Abstract

Abstract. This project will provide the European Commission (EC) with an overview of the likely impacts of climate change on biodiversity in the European Union (EU), particularly within the Natura 2000 (N2K) network of protected areas, and indications of how the design and implementation of current policy might need to be adapted to ensure that the EU delivers its commitment to halt biodiversity loss by 2010 and beyond. The study will identify those species and associated habitats that are likely to be most vulnerable to climate change and the steps required to protect the integrity of the network from negative effects. The study will also assess the impacts of large-scale renewable energy schemes (wind parks, hydroelectric schemes and tidal barrages) on biodiversity and produce guidelines on the sorts of measures that might be used to maintain and protect N2K sites.

Highlights

  • Commissioned by DG Environment (Nature and Biodiversity), this 18-month study aims to:– Review the impacts of climate change on Europe’s biodiversity.– Assess the implications of climate change for the European Union (EU) “2010 and beyond” target.– Identify threats from climate change to the N2K network.– Examine the effects of renewable energy schemes on biodiversity and the N2K network.The project is being delivered through four “tasks” and by a team comprising AEA, Axiom, IEEP, IUCN and UNEP-WCMC

  • It will be possible to make subjective appraisals of those species groups and habitat types that are likely to be most vulnerable to climate change in Europe

  • The vulnerability assessments will be used to inform the identification of threats posed to biliEmtUiyghbttioobdeivcaedlrsjiuimtsytepadotltieocybcebhtyteacr lnidmegalitveee.rchtIhatenwgEeU.i’slRlebciaoodlmisvmeoresnbitdyeactioopmnosmswitsmilliebbnetlse.mTathdoeeremonwaihll kobweepasofuloiccbieussjecotniveoppaoprtupnirtiaesisawlitshinofthethHoasbeitatsspaencd ieBsirdsgrDoiruecptisvesanadnd hthaebiCtaomt mtiysspioen’ss that are likely to be most vulnerable to climate change in Europe

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Summary

Introduction

Commissioned by DG Environment (Nature and Biodiversity), this 18-month study (which began in January 2008) aims to:. The task report draws on both observational data and the outputs of computer simulation models It concentrates on the physical effects of climate change on biodiversity. At the time of writing, impact and vulnerability assessments are being carried out for a range of species of Community interest selected from the modelling studies cited above. These are identifying which species are likely to experience high levels of impact and in turn, high levels of vulnera-. For species with less than 70% overlap between current predicted distribution and projected future distribution, an additional assessment is made using traits indicative of their likely colonisation ability: barriers to dispersal, limited dispersal M. and/or cHoloanrislaetioyn aebtilitay,l.a:ndBdiisotribduitivonesrlsimiitteyd maanindly ctolfiramgmaetnetedchhaabintagts.e. a) Impact assessment b) Vulnerability assessment high high high climate impact resilient

Climate exposure vulnerable low low Climate Impact
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