Abstract
Navigation via the Northern Sea Route (NSR) requires specific vessels in comparison with the Suez Canal Route (SCR). We develop a profit decision model that defines the best option mixing the shipping lane (NSR or SCR) and the ice-class of the vessel (1A, 1AS, and Open Water (OW)) for oil producers operating in the Russian Arctic zone. The effects of the Brent barrel price, bunker cost and ice-thickness are analyzed. The best option depends in fact on the strategy implemented by the shipper. For instance, the solutions of a profit focused strategy or of a cost-oriented strategy are different.
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