Abstract
Since the 2010s, severe crises have hit the European Union (EU) approximately every five years: first the financial and euro crisis, then the migration crisis and Brexit, and last (but certainly not least) the COVID-19 pandemic. The crises have left their mark on the inner cohesion of the Union and on the level of solidarity between its member states. As a result, three central themes will shape the EU in the coming years: the lack of trust between member states, increasing value divergence within the EU, and a lack of a shared vision for the future of the Union. These factors will impact upcoming negotiations on key legislative initiatives such as the Green Deal, digitalisation, the Health Union, the renegotiation of EU fiscal rules, the strategic compass, or even on possible treaty changes following the Conference on the Future of Europe. How well the EU will be able to master these challenges, will depend on the member states’ ability to prioritise the common good of the Union above their national interests.
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