Abstract

Inventories of seismically induced landslides provide essential information about the extent and severity of ground effects after an earthquake. Rigorous assessment of the completeness of a landslide inventory and the quality of a landslide susceptibility map derived from the inventory is of paramount importance for disaster management applications. Methods and materials applied while preparing inventories influence their quality, but the criteria for generating an inventory are not standardized. This study considered five landslide inventories prepared by different authors after the 2015 Gorkha earthquake, to assess their differences, understand the implications of their use in producing landslide susceptibility maps in conjunction with standard landslide predisposing factors and logistic regression. We adopted three assessment criteria: (1) an error index to identify the mutual mismatches between the inventories; (2) statistical analysis, to study the inconsistency in predisposing factors and performance of susceptibility maps; and (3) geospatial analysis, to assess differences between the inventories and the corresponding susceptibility maps. Results show that substantial discrepancies exist among the mapped landslides. Although there is no distinct variation in the significance of landslide causative factors and the performance of susceptibility maps, a hot spot analysis and cluster/outlier analysis of the maps revealed notable differences in spatial patterns. The percentages of landslide-prone hot spots and clustered areas are directly proportional to the size of the landslide inventory. The proposed geospatial approaches provide a new perspective to the investigators for the quantitative analysis of earthquake-triggered landslide inventories and susceptibility maps.

Highlights

  • Inventories of seismically induced landslides provide essential information about the extent and severity of ground effects after an earthquake

  • In the case that different inventories exist for a given area and/ or a given triggering event, one can obtain landslide susceptibility maps (LSMs) generated from the inventories using the same independent variables and the same classification method

  • Comparison of LSMs is useful to understand how differences in the inventories themselves propagate to derivative maps

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Summary

Introduction

Inventories of seismically induced landslides provide essential information about the extent and severity of ground effects after an earthquake. This study considered five landslide inventories prepared by different authors after the 2015 Gorkha earthquake, to assess their differences, understand the implications of their use in producing landslide susceptibility maps in conjunction with standard landslide predisposing factors and logistic regression. The proposed geospatial approaches provide a new perspective to the investigators for the quantitative analysis of earthquake-triggered landslide inventories and susceptibility maps. Event but generating different LSMs. This paper focuses on performing a statistical and geospatial comparative analysis on the inventories and the LSMs obtained from the inventories using the standard classification methods. While qualitative methods determine the susceptibility level in a descriptive form based on the expert’s judgement, quantitative methods apply mathematical and statistical relationships between the landslide occurrence and predisposing factors for assessing the probability of landslide ­occurrence[17,18,18] for earthquake-triggered landslides. LR has been commonly used to assess the landslide occurrence probability and study event-based ­landslides[14,19]

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