Abstract

Change in land use and land cover (LULC) contributes in worsening ecological issues. Studying the trends of change in land use is highly significant to deal with global climate change and sustainable development. The aim of this paper is to evaluate the spatial-temporal dynamics of LULC of the Bamenda Mountains (BM) in the North West region of Cameroon, over a period of 34 years (1988-2022) and predict 34 years (2022-2056) future land use scenario of this site using time series satellite imagery (MSS, TM, ETM+, and OLI-TIRS) and ancillary data and to comprehend the driving forces of land use/land cover change (LULCC). The trends of LULCC were quantified; LULC maps were derived by classifying time series satellite images. Six LULC categories were identified during the study period (1988-2022). The research revealed a significant LULCC of the BM which can be justified by increase in the human population observed in the study area and the desire to extend agricultural lands to sustain the growing population. Overall, cultivated area 5684 ha (10.47%), 10680 ha (19.57 %), and 15163 ha (27.78%) and built-up area 449 ha (0.83%), 996 ha (1.83%), and 3242 ha (5.94%) for the study years 1988, 2003, and 2022, respectively, were all on the increase throughout the study period at the expense of other land cover types. The predicted figures of 2056 showed a continuous reduction of montane forest and savanna: 2401.92 ha (4.40%) and 25,862.67 ha (47.39%), respectively. Bare area is expected to drop in 2056 (2905.92 ha (5.32%)). The above decrease, when compared to 2022 figures, represents a loss of 3.97%, 4.53%, and 0.57%, respectively. The losses observed are gained by built-up and cultivated land (5.72% and 3.39%, respectively), covering surfaces areas of 6364.89 ha (11.66%) and 17,008.56 ha (31.17%), respectively. The above findings suggest that population growth is likely the major menace to the natural environment. It is thus safe to say that substantial LULCC was observed throughout the study period and will undoubtedly continue if nothing is done. This necessitates urgent measures such as reforestation and afforestation, encouraging off-farm activities and even improving technologies to combat the rate of forest degradation of the BM. Additionally, rebuilding trust between the French and English Cameroons through dialogue is premodial, to end the curent conflictual civil war and lessen the landscape configuration in Bamenda.

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