Abstract
BackgroundLow birth weight is associated with an increased risk of neonatal and infant mortality and morbidity, as well as with other adverse conditions later in life. Since the birth weight-specific mortality of a second child depends on the birth weight of an older sibling, a failure to achieve the biologically intended size appears to increase the risk of adverse outcome even in babies who are not classified as small for gestation. In this study, we aimed at quantifying the risk of neonatal death as a function of a baby's failure to fulfil its biologic growth potential across the whole distribution of birth weight.MethodsWe predicted the birth weight of 411,957 second babies born in Denmark (1979–2002), given the birth weight of the first, and examined how the ratio of achieved birth weight to predicted birth weight performed in predicting neonatal mortality.ResultsFor any achieved birth weight category, the risk of neonatal death increased with decreasing birth weight ratio. However, the risk of neonatal death increased with decreasing birth weight, even among babies who achieved their predicted birth weight.ConclusionWhile a low achieved birth weight was a stronger predictor of mortality, a failure to achieve the predicted birth weight was associated with increased mortality at virtually all birth weights. Use of family data may allow identification of children at risk of adverse health outcomes, especially among babies with apparently "normal" growth.
Highlights
Low birth weight is associated with an increased risk of neonatal and infant mortality and morbidity, as well as with other adverse conditions later in life
At the 39th week of gestation, babies whose older sibling weighed 2000 grams had a mean birth weight of 3175 grams, while babies whose older sibling weighed 5000 grams had a mean birth weight of 4200 grams. These patterns were strikingly similar to those reported by Skjaerven et al [12], who found that, at any given gestational age of the second-born child, there was a linear association between its birth weight and that of the first-born
When we examined the risk of neonatal death of the second baby as a function of how close the achieved birth weight was to the predicted birth weight, we observed an inverse J-shaped curve for all strata of achieved birth weight above 2000 grams; overall, mortality was higher for infants with a low birth weight ratio, lower for infants who achieved their predicted birth weight, and slightly higher for infants who achieved a birth weight higher than predicted
Summary
Low birth weight is associated with an increased risk of neonatal and infant mortality and morbidity, as well as with other adverse conditions later in life. There is a strong tendency to repeat birth weight in successive births of the same mother [10,11,12,13], and several studies have shown that mortality in second babies varies as a function of their own birth weight, but depends on the birth weight of their older sibling, as small babies whose older sibling was small had lower mortality than small babies whose older sibling was large [10,11,14,15] These studies, did not take gestational age of either child into consideration. Quantifying the risk associated with the deviation from one's predicted birth weight, regardless of the birth weight itself, will strengthen the case for early identification of at-risk babies, especially in circumstances where there is no obvious fetal growth restriction
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