Antenatal detection of congenital malformations by routine ultrasonography.

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Routine ultrasound examination was performed in 9012 fetuses of a general pregnant population to detect fetal malformations. The examination was done on 3098 fetuses at 18 weeks, and on 5914 fetuses it was repeated at 34 weeks. Ninety-three infants (1.03%) showed 123 major malformations, of which 65 (52.8%) in 54 children were visualized in utero. The sensitivity of detection of malformed fetuses was 58.1% (54 of 93), specificity 99.9%, positive predictive value 91.5%, and negative predictive value 99.6%. Five fetal hydronephroses were the only false-positive cases (0.06%), with apparent spontaneous resolution after birth. Fetal growth retardation, polyhydramnios, or oligohydramnios was observed in 43% of the malformed cases, suggesting the importance of these conditions in ultrasound screening. Abnormality of pregnancy was suspected clinically in only 25.8% of the cases at the time of diagnosis of fetal malformation, emphasizing the necessity for ultrasound examination of all pregnancies.

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  • Jun 27, 2006
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Many countries have seen a decline in recidivism rates over the past decades. These base rates are pertinent information for assessing the recidivism risk of offenders. They provide a foundation for clinical assessment and an empirical basis for risk assessment instrument norms, which inform expected recidivism rates. The present study explored the extent to which base rates influence the validity of risk assessment instruments. We systematically reviewed the available evidence on the discrimination ability of four well-established risk assessment instruments used to estimate the probability of recidivism for general (Level of Service Inventory-Revised [LSI-R]), violent (Violence Risk Appraisal Guide [VRAG]), sexual (Static-99R), and intimate partner violent offences (Ontario Domestic Assault Risk Assessment [ODARA]). We conducted a bivariate logit-normal random effects meta-analysis of sensitivity and false positive rates and modelled the positive and negative predictive values. We used base rates as reported in (a) the construction samples of each risk assessment instrument and (b) recent official statistics and peer-reviewed articles for different offence categories and countries. To assess the risk of bias, we used the Joanna Briggs Institute Critical Appraisal Checklist for Diagnostic Test Accuracy Studies. We screened 644 studies and subsequently analysed 102, of which 96 were included in the systematic review and 24 in the meta-analyses. Discrimination was comparable for all four instruments (median area under the curve = 0.68-0.71). The information needed to calculate summary statistics of sensitivity and false positive rate was often not reported, and a risk of bias may be present in up to half of the studies. The largest summary sensitivity and false positive rate were estimated for the ODARA, followed by the LSI-R, the VRAG, and the Static-99R. If base rates are low, positive predictive values tend to be relatively low, while negative predictive values are higher: positive predictive value = 0.032-0.133 and negative predictive value = 0.985-0.989 for sexual offences; positive predictive value = 188-0.281 and negative predictive value = 0.884-0.964 for intimate partner violence; positive predictive value = 0.218-0.241 and negative predictive value = 0.907-0.942 for violent offences; positive predictive value = 0.335-0.377 and negative predictive value = 0.809-0.810 for general offences. When interpreting the results of individual risk assessments, it is not sufficient to provide the discrimination of the instrument; the risk statement must also address the positive predictive value and discuss its implications for the specific case. As recidivism rates are neither stable over time nor uniform across countries or samples, the primary interpretation of risk assessment instruments should rely on the percentile rank. Expected recidivism rates should be interpreted with caution. However, our results are drawn from a limited database, as studies not reporting sufficient information were excluded from analyses and it was only possible to identify current base rates for modelling positive and negative predictive values for certain countries. International standards for consistently collecting and reporting base rates are important to better identify crime trends. Future research on the validity of risk assessment instruments should follow rigorous reporting standards.

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Validity of Self-Reported Psoriasis in a General Population: The HUNT Study, Norway
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Application value of two-dimensional combined four-dimensional ultrasound in the diagnosis of prenatal fetal malformation
  • Jul 25, 2019
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  • Cite Count Icon 4
  • 10.1159/000054255
Technetium-99m-Tetrofosmin Scintimammography in Suspected Breast Cancer Patients: A Comparison with Technetium-99m-MIBI
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  • Medical Principles and Practice
  • Seong Jang Kim + 3 more

Objective: To investigate the diagnostic role of <sup>99m</sup>Tc-tetrofosmin in the detection of primary breast cancer and axillary lymph node metastasis and to compare the findings with those of <sup>99m</sup>Tc-MIBI. Methods: Forty-eight patients with clinically palpable masses or abnormal radiologic findings had <sup>99m</sup>Tc-MIBI and <sup>99m</sup>Tc-tetrofosmin scintimammographies (SMMs) after intravenous injections of 925 MBq of radiopharmaceuticals. The SMMs were correlated with histopathologic findings. Results: Thirty-three patients were diagnosed with breast cancer and 15 patients with benign breast diseases. The number of true positive, true negative, false positive, and false negative cases of <sup>99m</sup>Tc-tetrofosmin SMM were 31, 10, 5, and 2, respectively. The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value and negative predictive value of <sup>99m</sup>Tc-tetrofosmin SMM were 93.9, 66.7, 86.1 and 73.3%, respectively. The number of true positive, true negative, false positive, and false negative cases of <sup>99m</sup>Tc-MIBI SMM was 29, 10, 5, and 4, respectively. The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value of <sup>99m</sup>Tc-MIBI SMM were 87.8, 66.7, 85.3 and 73.3%, respectively. In assessment of axillary lymph node involvement, <sup>99m</sup>Tc tetrofosmin SMM demonstrated 31.8, 100, 100, and 42.3% sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values, respectively. The sensitivity and specificity of <sup>99m</sup>Tc-MIBI SMM was 22.7 and 100%. Positive and negative predictive values were 100 and 39.3%, respectively. One patient was false negative in both <sup>99m</sup>Tc-MIBI and <sup>99m</sup>Tc-tetrofosmin SMMs with a tumor size of 0.5 cm. Conclusion:<sup>99m</sup>Tc-tetrofosmin and <sup>99m</sup>Tc-MIBI SMMs were noninvasive and useful in the detection of primary breast cancer and <sup>99m</sup>Tc tetrofosmin was comparable to <sup>99m</sup>Tc-MIBI in the detection of primary breast cancer. However, both radiopharmaceuticals had limited values in the assessment of axillary lymph node involvement.

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