Analysis of the New Zealand’s Taranaki regional wave climate using high-resolution modelling

Abstract

Understanding the regional wave climate is essential for engineering applications. The last two decades have not been included in assessments of the wave climate of New Zealand’s Taranaki region, where the country exploits offshore oil and gas. To make up for this lack of assessment, we carried out a high-resolution long-term (1979–2018) wave hindcast and examined several aspects of the climate in the region. The hindcast data validation against buoy and satellite data showed good agreement and suitability for wave climate analysis. Seasonal wave distributions reveal a bi-modal pattern, composed of (1) more energetic and long period (13–15 s) westerly–southwesterly swells; and (2) shorter-period (∼8 s) southwesterly wind-seas. These signatures result from the region’s high exposure to swells generated by persistent strong winds blowing over long fetches in the Southern Ocean, and to local storm-associated wind-seas, respectively. The largest waves are found offshore, with mean Hs value reaching 2.83 m, 90th percentile 4.3 m, 99th percentile 6.1 m, and maximum 10.8 m. Storm wave monthly climatologies show that storm peaks are largest in the austral autumn, especially in May, while the number of events is the largest in July. Trends in Hs statistics reveal an increase over the past 40 years, with higher rates at higher percentiles. Storm peaks have also increased, by up to 8 cm/decade, whereas the number of storm events has decreased. In agreement with previous work, we found relationships between Hs and climate patterns. Waves get larger in Taranaki waters during El Nino events, as a result of stronger southwesterly winds, and during negative Antarctic Oscillation phases, as westerly winds displace northward.