Abstract

The study presents an analysis of droughts using monthly rainfall data, from January 1961 to December 2011, from 11 rain gauges located in Paraguay and Northern Argentina. The characterization of the drought events used the standardized precipitation index (SPI) applied at different time scales (3, 6, and 12 consecutive months). The temporal variability of the droughts in the study period was analyzed in terms of changes in their frequency—regardless of the severity, has the frequency of droughts increased or decreased?—and in their severity—are we experiencing more severe droughts or not? The results achieved, despite proving the suitability of the approaches applied, did not reveal any trend towards an increase or a decrease either in the frequency of the droughts or in their severity in the studied area.

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