Abstract

This study forecasts the load profile of Germany for household scenarios till 2050 based on Markov chain process. Taking into account the penetration level of photovoltaic (PV) solar technology, technological improvement of efficient home appliances, battery support, load management and demand response scheduling, a high resolution smart home demand profile is created. At the end, combining of all, a highly annual aggregated demand profile is produced which shows daily variations on demand load profile for fixed tariff scenarios up to 44% with respect to the present demand profile. On the other hand it is found that, Time of Use (TOU) tariff shows a variation of 64% with respect to the present demand profile.

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