Analysis of carbon emission equity degrees based on regional heterogeneity in China.

Abstract

Carbon emission reduction is an environmental and development issue that needs to consider various factors, such as the economy and people's livelihood. Supporting the achievement of emission reduction targets has become an important planning goal for provincial governments; however, there are differences in provincial industrial structure and economic development, which cannot be ignored in goal setting. This study measures the equity degrees of carbon emissions based on economic output by using provincial panel data from 2000 to 2019 and evaluates the spatial distribution characteristics of the carbon emission inequity index (CII). Then, analysis of the influencing factors to CII is employed by spatial econometric methods. Furthermore, multi-index panel data factor analysis and cluster analysis are used to divide regions. The empirical results show that nearly half of the provinces have the problem of carbon emissions inequity with significant spatial correlation. For local development, economic growth and population expansion will significantly improve the equity degrees of carbon emissions. In contrast, the growth of urbanization level, the percentage of secondary industry, and increased energy intensity will significantly improve the equity degrees of carbon emissions in neighboring regions. Policymakers should consider the factors influencing CII and formulate emission reduction plans according to regional characteristics.