Abstract

Roguing and replanting are the most common strategies to control plant diseases and pests. How to build the mathematical models of plant virus transmission and consider the impact of roguing and replanting strategies on plant virus eradication is of great practical significance. In the present paper, we propose the mathematical models for plant virus transmission with continuous and impulsive roguing control. For the model with continuous control strategies, the threshold values for the existences and stabilities of multiple equilibria have been given, and the effect of roguing strategies on the threshold values is also addressed. Furthermore, the model with impulsive roguing control tactics is proposed, and the existence and stability of the plant-only and disease-free periodic solutions of the model are investigated by calculating several threshold values. Moreover, when selecting the design control strategy to minimize the threshold, we systematically analyze the existence of the optimal times of roguing infected plants within a replanting cycle, which is of great significance to the design and optimization of the prevention and control strategy of plant virus transmission. Finally, numerical investigations are given to reveal the main conclusions, and the biological implications of the main results are briefly discussed in the last section.

Highlights

  • Plant diseases are caused by plant viruses transmitted by insect vectors [1,2,3,4,5], which can cause serious losses in economy and increased poverty [6]

  • A deterministic model with bilinear incidence was formulated to address the impact of cross protection on the spread and control of Huanglongbing (HLB) disease [22], and Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society the main results reveal that cross protection and removing infected trees play an important role in controlling the spread of HLD

  • Based on the characteristics of plant diseases transmitted by insect vectors [7, 8], we proposed the mathematical models with continuous control strategy and pulse control strategy with single-pulse sequence of multipulse sequences, developed the corresponding threshold theoretical analysis and numerical techniques to address the threshold dynamics of the model, and obtained the corresponding threshold conditions [10]

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Summary

Introduction

Plant diseases are caused by plant viruses transmitted by insect vectors [1,2,3,4,5], which can cause serious losses in economy and increased poverty [6]. In [18, 19], the plant disease models with impulsive cultural strategies were developed and analyzed, and the main results reveal that the plant disease could be eradicated or the number of infected plants could be maintained below the economic threshold by choosing proper control frequency and intensity. We note that those modelling methods have been developed and extended in various references [20, 32,33,34]. Various threshold values which guarantee the existence and stability of plant-only and disease-free periodic solutions have been obtained, and the existence of the optimal times of roguing infected plants within a replanting cycle has been investigated in more detail

The Model
Dynamics of the Model with Continuous Control
Dynamics of the Model with Pulse Perturbation
Optimum Times of Roguing Control
Numerical Investigations
Discussion
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