Abstract

The US Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) is, in concert with the US nuclear industry, currently revisiting its rule and analysis requirements for pressurized thermal shock (PTS) scenarios. This paper provides an overview of an updated probabilistic risk analysis (PRA) methodology that is continuing to evolve as part of that effort. The evolution process includes a careful assessment of recent advancements that have been made in the various parts of the computational methodologies. The process also involves interactions between experts in relevant disciplines (thermal hydraulics, PRA, materials, fracture mechanics, and non-destructive and destructive examination). Representatives include staff members from the USNRC staff, research laboratories, and the nuclear industry. The updated methodology is being integrated into the FAVOR (Fracture Analysis of Vessels: Oak Ridge) computer code for application to re-examine the adequacy of the current regulations and to determine if the updates provide sufficient technical bases for revisions. This paper also discusses recent modifications to the probabilistic fracture mechanics (PFM) methodology that is central to FAVOR.

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