Abstract

Between the late Little Ice Age (LIA) cold stage and the early 20th century warmer scenario, a transitional regime characterized by an unstable climatic pattern generated a series of climate extremes affecting mid-latitude mountainous areas, as the Asturian Massif. There, the 1888 snow avalanche cycle appears as the most significant event, standing out among the rest of avalanche cycles recorded in this area during the 1800-2015 period both in terms of the number of damaging avalanches and damages caused by them. Among the factors that explain this event stands out the orographic precipitation phenomenon; the interaction of a cold and wet air mass originating from the North Atlantic with the relief of the Massif, which led to extraordinary snow thicknesses (>2 m) at very low altitudes (500 m a.s.l.), especially in the north-facing, Asturian versant of the Cantabrian Mountains. This allowed the triggering of avalanches in slopes gentler and in lower altitudes than usual, covering longer distances; consequently, avalanches reached more easily the settlements, generally placed at the bottom of the valley or in middle slope positions. The greater impact on the settlements, which suffered 84% of the damages, was the cause of this episode’s high socioeconomic impact (29 people dead, 34 injured, 123 heads of cattle dead, 124 buildings destroyed). These events occurred at a time when the mountain villages were highly populated and subjected to intense exploitation, coinciding with the development of new communication infrastructures in the upper parts of the Massif. Therefore, the 1888 episode constitutes a good example of both the impact of hydrometeorological events in mountain environments under high demographic pressure, and of climate extremes involved in a transition period from cold to warmer weather conditions.

Highlights

  • The study of past climate-related natural disasters is of great importance, allowing us to measure the magnitude of extreme future climatic events, as well as plan ourThe snow avalanche cycle of 1888 in the Asturian Massif (Northern Spain) response to them (Brázdil et al, 2005)

  • Among the factors that explain this event stands out the orographic precipitation phenomenon; the interaction of a cold and wet air mass originating from the North Atlantic with the relief of the Massif, which led to extraordinary snow thicknesses (>2 m) at very low altitudes (500 m a.s.l.), especially in the north-facing, Asturian versant of the Cantabrian Mountains

  • Data was collected from three sources: i) news from sixteen regional and national newspapers, published between 10 February and 30 May 1888; ii) obituary books from 23 mountain parishes in the Asturian Massif; iii) daily temperature and rainfall data obtained from a total of 82 personal interviews conducted in 42 different villages affected by avalanches during the episode

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Summary

Introduction

The study of past climate-related natural disasters is of great importance, allowing us to measure the magnitude of extreme future climatic events, as well as plan ourThe snow avalanche cycle of 1888 in the Asturian Massif (Northern Spain) response to them (Brázdil et al, 2005). Snowstorms, floods and droughts affected the European continent causing substantial socioeconomic damages (Fagan, 2002). Within this context, cold-climate hazards were more frequent and intense than today, those related to frost and snow (Lockwood et al, 2017). Widespread avalanche cycles, while concentrated in only a few days, have the potential to cause damages over an entire region (Birkeland and Mock, 2001), and the comprehension of both their links with climatic factors and their spatial extent and severity, can facilitate avalanche forecasting and risk mitigation (Fitzharris and Bakkehøi, 1986; Höller, 2009; García et al, 2009; Eckert et al, 2011; Oller et al, 2015). The study of avalanche cycles must be a priority for medium and high altitude mountainous areas, which have previously witnessed extreme events, since the recurring risk is high and their socioeconomic consequences can be huge

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