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An exponential inequality for widely orthant dependent random variables and its application to a first-order autoregressive model

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This paper establishes an exponential inequality for widely orthant dependent random variables, deriving convergence rates for the strong law of large numbers, including a rate of O(log²n)^{α/(1+α)} for linear models with 0<α<1, supported by numerical simulations.

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This study develops an exponential inequality for widely orthant dependent random variables. We establish complete convergence and derive a convergence rate of O(1)(log2n)α1+αn−α1+α for the strong law of large numbers, where 0&lt;α≤1. As an application to a linear model, we obtain the strong law of large numbers with a convergence rate of O(1)(log2n)2α1+αn−2α1+α, where 0&lt;α&lt;1. Numerical simulations are provided to illustrate and support the theoretical results.

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