Abstract

This research evaluates the usefulness of oak earlywood vessel area as a climate proxy in the western United Kingdom (UK). The results demonstrate that at this site earlywood vessel area contains a different environmental signal (March relative humidity) to a ring-width chronology developed from the same trees. The vessel area signal passes commonly used verification statistics and was found to be representative of the climate of a similar geographic area to other tree-ring proxies, albeit with a lower explained variance. Taking the average of all the vessels identified for each year weakened the reconstructed climate signal and it was found for this study that the average of the 10 largest vessels provided the strongest and most stable match. The results demonstrate earlywood vessel area of oak in the UK has potential as a climate proxy, but that further work to strengthen and characterise the climatic target variable controlling vessel area is required.

Highlights

  • Climate proxies provide an approach to examine past changes in climate, and under favourable circumstances, these can be used to extend records back beyond the period of direct instrumental observa­ tions

  • The annual resolution is important in the study of the recent past, as it permits the study of extreme events and the application of statistical calibration, verification and measures of con­ fidence to be established (McCarroll and Loader, 2004)

  • For earlywood vessels to be useful as a proxy in the United Kingdom (UK) there are a number of conditions that should be met: 1) a strong shared common signal between constituent trees (Fonti and García-Gonzalez, 2008), 2) a better or unique environmental signal in comparison to easier to obtain tree-based proxies (Fonti and García-Gonzalez, 2004), 3) a climate signal that is representative of a large spatial area, and 4) the recon­ struction passes climate reconstruction verification statistics

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Summary

Introduction

Climate proxies provide an approach to examine past changes in climate, and under favourable circumstances, these can be used to extend records back beyond the period of direct instrumental observa­ tions. This provides a longer-term context within which to view recent anthropogenic impacts upon the climate system. Con­ straints (e.g. cost and time) have impeded the production of accurate measurements and well-replicated chronologies (Eckstein, 2004) Since the latter half of the twentieth century, and with the improvement of fully- and semi-automatic image analysis (e.g. CATS, Land et al, 2017; ImageJ, Schneider et al, (2012); ROXAS, von Arx and Carrer, 2014), there have been a number of investigations relating cell characteristics to environmental signals, especially the water-conducting tissues of conifers Since the latter half of the twentieth century, and with the improvement of fully- and semi-automatic image analysis (e.g. CATS, Land et al, 2017; ImageJ, Schneider et al, (2012); ROXAS, von Arx and Carrer, 2014), there have been a number of investigations relating cell characteristics to environmental signals, especially the water-conducting tissues of conifers (e.g. Belokopytova et al, 2019; Fonti and Babushkina, 2016)

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