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AI Governance and Global Stability: Why U.S. Leadership Matters

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Abstract
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The global landscape is undergoing a profound transformation driven by artificial intelligence (AI), a technology that has the potential to reshape global power dynamics, economies, and societies. The United States (U.S.) has historically played a central role in guiding technological advancements, offering leadership that has prioritized ethical governance and global stability. Drawing a parallel to the U.S. leadership during the development of atomic weapons, this study emphasizes the necessity for the U.S. to take a proactive and responsible role in the governance of AI. Without U.S. leadership, the proliferation of AI risks falling into the hands of authoritarian regimes, such as China and Russia, whose use of AI for surveillance, censorship, disinformation, and military purposes could destabilize international norms and threaten democratic values. The study uses agency theory to argue that the global community must rely on the U.S. as a responsible agent to ensure AI technologies are used ethically and for the collective benefit of humanity. The paper also incorporates social comparison theory, technological determinism, and international relations realism to further illustrate the strategic and moral imperative of U.S. leadership in AI governance. By examining the historical context of U.S. leadership in managing disruptive technologies, this study highlights the urgent need for the U.S. to establish global AI governance frameworks that prioritize human rights, equity, and democratic values, countering the risks posed by authoritarian misuse of AI. Overall, the study employs a systematic meta-analysis, utilizing agency theory and complementary frameworks such as social comparison theory, technological determinism, and realism to analyze the U.S.'s role in global AI governance, drawing from peer-reviewed literature sourced from databases like Google Scholar, PubMed, and Web of Science, published between 2010 and 2025. The analysis reveals that U.S. leadership in AI prioritizes ethical development, transparency, and international collaboration, contrasting sharply with China and Russia’s authoritarian strategies focused on surveillance, militarization, and disinformation, underscoring the urgent need for U.S.-led global norms to ensure AI aligns with democratic values and fosters global stability.

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The rapid development of artificial intelligence (AI) is transforming the global governance system, creating new challenges in the areas of security, ethics, and state sovereignty. This study focuses on the mechanisms for coordinating AI policy. The research reveals that the United Nations plays a fundamental coordinating role in AI governance, but international legal regulation in this area remains fragmented. The BRICS countries demonstrate diverse approaches to AI governance, while maintaining common trends towards increasing legal regulation and developing new ethical standards for AI applications. It has been revealed that the practice of public administration in China focuses on three aspects: harmonization of regulatory regimes in partner countries, implementation of resource potential, and productive cooperation in joint, socially significant projects. Based on a comparative analysis and case study, the study examines the main models of AI governance in the BRICS countries and their relationship with the global governance system, as well as analyzes China's strategic orientation. The study analyzes research literature and official documents (legislation of the People's Republic of China, draft national legislation of Brazil, etc.). The novelty of this study lies in analyzing current trends in the international situation, which allows for making predictions about the future transformation of mechanisms for international cooperation in the field of global AI governance. It is emphasized that the harmonious development of the global AI governance system requires coordination of UN and BRICS policy decisions, as well as increasing the transparency and effectiveness of implemented policies through the formation of new institutional mechanisms for international cooperation. In the future, China's strategy will continue to influence the transformation of the international landscape. By promoting the harmonization of international standards, the sharing of technological resources, and the implementation of regional initiatives through multilateral financing, China will support the balanced development of a global governance system that better represents the interests of developing countries.

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